I could not agree more. There will be no revolution or armed revolt as perscribed by the keyboard commandos. Nothing will happen at all.
Like we've talked about before ... the anti's know how to do things to avoid this.
You start out, like in DC or Cali or wherever, by "grandfathering" in all the existing weapons. This keeps you from having to kick down doors all over the country and arrest people. And it makes it more palletable for the politicians becuase they're "not taking anything away ... you can keep everything you already own ... etc." And sadly, many gun owners will find that acceptable.
Then, as we've seen in other countries and in cities around our country, you don't immediately start a rigid enforcement. Sure ... you pick up every gun you find ... but mostly you're waiting for gun ownership to drop through attrition.
In order to avoid violence, I wouldn't be surprised that the final solution will be a generation or two long. Once they start demanding weapons be turned in (starting with less common types) and weapon ownership has been attritted down to a low level, then they can start cracking down.
My .02. But ... there may be scattered waco's here and there, but it will be localized violence that will be put down. There will mostly be grumbling, complaining, and blogging on the internet. Plus quite a few people burying guns in hopefully waterproof containers.
But 10% of the population with guns buried in containers that will degrade over time is not a protection from a tyrannical government. It's nothing.
Not to say that a tyrannical government will follow, it probably won't, but one of our protections against such an occurence will be forever gone.
And I am not afraid or ashamed to admit, flame me however you will, that my household will NOT be one of the Waco's. It is possible to maintain a free system of government unarmed, it is just a single protection removed.