Posted by
Moomooboo:
The almost nonexistent probabilitythat one will encounter SD situation compounded by a jam that requires another mag is so miniscule yet it is one of the biggest factors we worry about.
That is not the way people who understand the basic tenets of risk management look at it.
The
probability that one will be faced by a violent critical actor
on any particular day is far less than remote. The probability that that risk will
ever materialize is much higher, but still rather low.
Because the
potential consequences are so severe, and because so little is involved in mitigating the risk, many of us do mitigate it. The most effective way to do that, for people who are trained and proficient in its use, is to carry a firearm. Many of us do that.
The next issue entails the risk that said firearm may fail in the unlikely event that it is needed. One properly looks at the
marginal probability, and not the
cumulative probability.
The shooting of guns in nonviolent situations demonstrates that that likelihood is higher than most of us would like.
That risk, too, requires little to mitigate. One effective way to do that, again for people who are trained and proficient, is to carry a spare magazine. Many trained and knowledgeable people do that.
Another way to mitigate that risk is to carry a back-up gun. That is likely more effective, and it provides several additional advantages. Some people do that.
I do not know of many knowledgeable, trained people who understand much at all about risk management who will discount that risk heavily, if they have already decided to carry a gun.