Extrapolating lead load data from XTP/jacketed loads by rule of thumb is certainly nothing new. You use your best judgment, make a few rounds and try them, and then proceed, refining accuracy results and enjoyable shooting characteristics, mostly recoil and discomfort.
But you 'extrapolated' the wrong direction...You should have dropped back no more than 10% from the jacketed data, and then worked up...
The old rule of thumb is if you can't find data for lead of a given weight, you can 'usually' safely use jacketed data for the same weight bullet (and seating depth) as a 'starting' point...Plated and coated bullets are treated as if they were plain lead...
As I pointed out, lead is 'slicker' than copper jacket, and 'usually' develops lower pressures with all other variables the same...
This says nothing about whether you will get leading with the combination, and usually that is why there is no data for cast with a certain powder, not because it is unsafe...
Ask the question of whether you can use jacketed data with cast of the same weight over at CastBoolits.com and see what answer they give...
The load I was using had been well proven.
That load has 'proven' that it is finicky and can produce squibs...
It simply is not in the pressure curve of the powder to ignite reliably in all circumstances...