Frank Ettin said:
It's only an informative website if the information is any good. So backing up your statements is necessary here, or anywhere else, if you expect to be taken seriously. I'm pretty amazed at how easily folks will believe whatever some anonymous denizen of cyberspace writes on the Internet -- as long as it's consistent with or confirms one's preconceived notions and cherished beliefs -- much like the anti-gun crowd does.
But some of us have higher standards and expect meaningful support and back-up for opinions and claims of fact. And it is never unreasonable for me, or anyone else, to expect someone offering an opinion, or stating something as a fact, here or anywhere else, support that opinion or claim. All opinions are not equal, and sometime people are wrong about what they believe to be true.
All this is good and true.
I offered the Ellifritz study, which offers both heartening and disheartening evidence for those interested in the effectiveness of small-caliber rounds. You cherry picked some of the Ellifritz data and ignored other pieces. You also ignored (or perhaps, simply overlooked) my observation that the .22 round didn't disable as well as some rounds -- trying to make your case.
Note: You have NOT argued that BIGGER IS BETTER even if you can't shoot BIGGER WELL.
I'm sure your position is that we should "shoot the biggest round we shoot best." I do think, however, that too many folks focus in this debate focus on that the first part of that sentence while ignoring the later part. I do think you're trying to say that the smaller caliber rounds just aren't effective. Maybe -- but the evidence isn't clear cut.
Let's compare .22 to .45 using Ellifritz data, all the while reciting the BIGGER IS BETTER Mantra:
People shot: .22 = 154 vs. .45 = 209
# of hits: .22 = 213 vs. .45 = 436
% fatal hits: .22 =
34% vs. .45 = 29%
Round until incapacitation: .22 = 2.2 vs. .45 = 1.71
% of people NOT incapacitated: .22 = 31% vs. .45 =
14%*
One shot stops: .22 = 31% vs. .45 =
39%
Head/Torso shots: .22 = 76% vs. .45 =
85%
Incapacitated by one shot: .22 =
60% vs. .45 = 45%
*As I stated earlier, this is an
important, differentiating result -- but other rounds smaller than the .45 do it better than does the .45 -- 9mm (13%), .357 (9%), and .40 (13%). Rifles do it as well as the .357 (9%) and that rifle round is often a much smaller round.
The lowly .32 round did better in some categories than did either the .22 or .45. The .32 had the a slightly higher one-shot stop rate than the .45 (.40% vs. 39%), and a higher rate of incapacitation with one shot than the .45 (60% vs. 51%). Bigger is better? It all depends on what you're measuring or what you think is most important. The .380 round also had a higher one-shot incapacitation rate than the .45 (.72% vs. 51%) -- and the same rate of shots that were fatal (29%). The percentage of people NOT incapacitated was only slightly higher than the .45 (16% vs. 14%). Bigger is better? Again -- it all depends on what you're measuring or what you think is most important.
The Ellifritz study shows that
rifles and shotguns have a far higher % of fatal hits, a much higher one-stop shot %, and a far higher incapacitation rate than any of the handguns except the .357 Magnum (in the case of incapacitation rates). Rifles typically don't have bigger diameter rounds! And shotguns spread the hurt -- unless you're shooting slugs. I'd argue that both rifles and shot guns make it easier to hit what you're aiming at closer ranges. What isn't shown in the Ellifritz study,
and it's a glaring omission,
is how many of the folks involved in those shootouts were on the losing end... I don't think we can assume that they were all winners!! hat data point might make us all rethink the caliber we want to use!
While BIGGER IS BETTER may be a good rule of thumb for handguns, I'm beginning to think that what matters most is whether you're a good shot with the gun you're and it's less important whether that gun shoots a larger caliber round!!
About credibility:
You cited the FBI "HANDGUN WOUNDING FACTORS AND EFFECTIVENESS" study. I keep a copy on hand. Little or no data is really offered in that study, and you must simply accept Special Agent Patrick's conclusions as valid. But, in the final analysis, it's just an expert's
opinion.
Agent Patrick makes the point that without a CNS hit, your best hope is for the aggressor to bleed out, and that takes time. Penetration must be at least 12" to reach the things that bleed a lot. Those points can be observed in emergency rooms and in the after-action reports of many well-documented shootouts.
Patrick also observes that it takes LESS TIME to bleed out with a larger bullet --but that is only true if the larger bullet hits the right spot. His words are
"given desirable and reliable penetration, the only way to increase bullet effectiveness is to increase the severity of the wound by increasing the size of hole made by the bullet."
I would argue that
you might also increase bullet effectiveness by hitting the right spots -- but Patrick's underlying assumption seems to be that you won't. A dying aggressor who is bleeding out quickly can kill you just as dead as one who is bleeding out more slowly. And some of us will be more likely to hit the right spot with a smaller caliber gun we shoot well, than with larger caliber weapon.
What is it that makes Agent Patrick's study more credible than some of the other material offered up here as proof? I'd say it has more to do with the fact that it has the FBI stamp of approval than because of the study's content. The content is relatively void of data or evidence for many of the statements made.
Bigger may be better, but sometimes a bit smaller might be better, too. (That is NOT a call for everyone to shoot .22 or .32, or 380... If you're already shooting .40, .44. or 45 well, continue doing so!!)
With regard to the other point being batted around -- that some agents have used .22 with great effect:
That Mossad agents have used .22s is interesting, but those folks were highly trained martial artists -- "operators" who spent most of their working life constantly training to improve their skills. One of those agents could probably do more damage with a letter opener or fountain pen than most of us could do with a machete in a fighting situation. The fact that a highly skilled individual was effective when using a .22 round, doesn't mean that most of us will also be effective when our lives depend on it. I do think the Mossad use of .22 weapons suggests that the .22 round has more potential than most of us recognize.
I think this brings us back to the point I tried to make above: it's not the arrow but the indian that matters most. Or, put another way, selecting the weapon and the round that brings out the best indian in us.