Jimbob86 said:
Because wearing body armor, while even more uncomfortable than carrying a gun and much harder to conceal, will not stop an attacker ..... at best, it'll buy you a bit of time...... maybe enough, maybe not. Without a gun, wearing body armor is just betting you are a tougher punching bag than the attacker is prepared to deal with.
But you were talking about WHAT WAS AT STAKE, and not about comfort or ease of concealment. Your defense of your position suggests that
more than just WHAT IS AT STAKE is also a concern. (And I didn't suggest using body armor instead of carrying a weapon.) My concern--dog attacks--wouldn't be helped by wearing body armor, either -- as dogs tend to tear at limbs, necks and faces when they do their thing: stuff not covered by body armor.
One of the points I was trying to make was that our words and logic can have an almost magical quality and can take take on their own reality. That's the power of words and logic -- they can convince us and they can fool us -- when there are no real facts or proofs at hand.
Most of the stuff upon which we base our judgments about weapon and round effectiveness isn't definitive. The data from the Buckeye website -- based on a large number of gun-related shootings (both police and civilian) suggests that a clear answer is yet to be found. All this said, I'm not sure that a larger caliber is better...
but readily agree that it might be.
If you compare the results in that
Ellifritz study, link above, you'll see that 9mm and .45 were more similar than dissimilar in terms of effectiveness. But that insipid little .22 round (which included short, long, and LR) had a higher percentage of fatal hits (34%) than either .45 (29%) or 9mm (24%). The same data showed that people shooting .22s stopped the other person with fewer shots than the .45 (.22=1.38 rounds vs. .45=2.08), and had a surprisingly similar percentage of fatal shots (.22 = 25% vs. 45 = 29%). One-shot incapacitation for the .22 was 60%, while it was 51% for the .45.
That last result could be skewed by the fact that many folks using a .45 are going to fire more than one round before assessing. That might not be the case with a person shooting a .22.
One
big advantage of the .45 was the percentage of people NOT incapacitated (in which a lower % is better),
but the .40 round did better than the .45! Results: .22=35%, 9mm=19%, .40=13%, and .45=14%. If the other guy is shooting at you, the .22 may not be your best choice.
Is better data available? I keep looking, but until we find that better base of data, I'm unconvinced that anyone has the right answer, yet.