I'm going to answer without reading the other responses so you can get the benefit of my thoughts with no other input. Then you decide if that's worthwhile or not.
My gut feel is that you might be able to prove it didn't come from a particular gun because something obviously didn't match but that it would be much harder to prove that it did come from a particular gun. In other words, the expert might say: I can tell this round didn't come from a Glock because the scratches on the round don't match the Glock magazine feedlips. But it would be very difficult, maybe impossible for him to prove that the round came from this particular Glock.
I think it would almost certainly be possible to tell if the round had ever been loaded into a magazine because doing so tends to leave scratches where the feedlips contact the round. That might give some insight into whether or not someone took a brand new round out of a box and dropped it on the ground.
I wouldn't bet on it. It might be possible to look at scratch marks left by the extractor but I don't think that the chances are good. The best bets might be to see if there's any way to match up marks on the bullet nose with marks on the feedramp or to see if the marks made when the round slid along the feedlips of the magazine show up and can be matched.if a live 9mm round is found can one identify with any reasonable certainty the gun from which it came? Are certain guns like, say a Glock 17 for instance, more inclined to leave markings on an unfired ejected round than say another sort of gun?
My gut feel is that you might be able to prove it didn't come from a particular gun because something obviously didn't match but that it would be much harder to prove that it did come from a particular gun. In other words, the expert might say: I can tell this round didn't come from a Glock because the scratches on the round don't match the Glock magazine feedlips. But it would be very difficult, maybe impossible for him to prove that the round came from this particular Glock.
I think it would almost certainly be possible to tell if the round had ever been loaded into a magazine because doing so tends to leave scratches where the feedlips contact the round. That might give some insight into whether or not someone took a brand new round out of a box and dropped it on the ground.
People do funny things under high stress. He may have not heard the sound of the shot due to the normal effects of extreme stress and cycled his gun manually thinking he had experienced a malfunction. He may have decided to unload his gun after the shooting for some reason.If, "hypothetically," this live 9mm round came from my buddy's gun, that's good news, no? But, also, if it did come from his gun, well, why?
You need to be aware that he may not be telling the truth but may also not be lying. He may genuinely be unaware of firing a second shot and therefore is not being disingenuous when he states what he believes to be the truth. If you read back to one of my earlier posts you will see I mention a hunting incident that was captured on video where a shooter was certain that he only fired once. The video showed that he fired twice and actually hit two separate animals.If he's lying it'll come out regardless as I've repeatedly warned.