Perhaps in terms of the general population, but what counts in this particular instance is who shows up at the polls.
The NRA has fooled nobody; no non-governmental actor has inherent power. The NRA's power lies with millions of members and sympathetic non-members who contact their elected representatives and VOTE.
You recognize that this is how our political system works with respect to MOST controversial issues, right?
If a single-issue advocacy organization gets the politicians to vote in its favor, it has done its job; the politicians' personal views are arguably irrelevant.
...
Serious and informed gun enthusiasts understand that firearms are heavily regulated RIGHT NOW, yet many of the laws are not seriously enforced, and that many measures touted as "sensible" seem designed to poke lawful enthusiasts in the eye while doing little to address real-world problems. This ballot measure is one such "sensible" proposal.
Who do you think is seriously espousing "never, ever the tiniest bit of regulation," individual cranks on online gun forums notwithstanding?