A 21.5" barrel should lose about 85 fps off the M2 velocity, give or take, as compared to a 24-inch barrel, so M2 should be about 2705 fps at 15 feet from the muzzle for your gun to be seeing about the same peak pressure. However, every load will have a mean and standard deviation value, and to have some idea what the average velocity actually is after you've found the pressure limit, run at least 10 of them (30 is much better, but 10 is what SAAMI uses, so there's no point in trying to be more precise than their baseline is).
Interestingly, your velocities are higher than the Hodgdon data would suggest they should be, but GRT predicts closer to what you have than to what Hodgdon has listed. Conversely, QuickLOAD predicts lower velocities than Hodgdon does. Taken together, this suggests the relative burn rate of the powder has become a bit quicker in recent years. In any event, a range of relative burn rates seem to have been out there and the powder models disagree substantially, with GRT having an energy content of 3900 J/g, vs. 3750 J/g for QL, and the progressivity rate being 0.9683 in GRT, and only 0.2476 in QL. It's like they were testing two different powders. In any event, for the lot of powder you have, I am more inclined to believe the GRT model because it matches the limited data you have better than QL does.
In general, when your gun, after allowing for barrel length difference, gets a lower velocity than the Hodgdon test gun did, it means your peak pressure is lower for the same charge weight of powder. When you get a higher velocity than they do after allowing for barrel length difference, you have higher peak pressure for the same charge weight of powder than they do. This latter condition would agree with what you are seeing by way of a sticky bolt lift. It seems the Hodgdon data is from a lower burn rate lot than you have. I would be adjust down to find a 10-shot average of 2704 fps with your load. Then shoot ten shots for confirmation.
This is just the sort of situation that is the reason we always start with bottom loads and work up, and we don't try to start in the middle somewhere. If you had started with Hodgdon's middle value of 59 grains, you'd have been putting overpressure wear on your gun from the git-go, so good job on not falling into that trap.