In brief (really!):
Spartacus:
I agree, there is no credible transatlantic (or trans-pacific) threat against the US, nor will there be for the forseeable future. Thats not what I'm claiming.
What I am claiming is that there are credible threats against US _interests_ abroad that require swift attention. Yes, I know this differs from the isolationist viewpoints of our founding fathers and from many americans today. We're headed into an extended debate about the relative merits of isolationism v. nonisolationism, and that way madness lies.
Plus, its not exactly germane to this thread. Probably best to agree to disagree.
To the issue of Bombing v Ground troops:
Well, this administration has _finally_, I think, pushed its luck too far. We got lucky in Mog, we got lucky in Haiti, we got lucky with North Korea, and we've been lucky with Saddam. I have read the news reports, I've thought about it in as unbiased a manner as I can, and I cannot find anything to make it look like anything more than dumb luck.
So lemme see if I get this right:
Scenario #1:
We bomb them enough that they actually stop. We win.
Scenario #2: we bomb them and they don't stop. We then let them get on with murdering innocents. They win.
Scenario #3: We bomb them, they don't stop, and we send in ground troops to stop them. Nobody wins, and its a major mess.
Scenario #4: We bomb them, they run all of the albanians out of the country, creating a major UN refugee headache and get EVERYONE in the region pissed off at the US. We end up expending several million bucks worth of bombs, missiles, and aircraft to hasten along the serbian's work, and destroy local relations to boot. They win.
Hmmm.
It looks more and more like Clinton was betting the farm on option #1 coming true and then doing a wait-and-see and delaying making more substantive plans. This is poor leadership regardless (you should ALWAYS think ahead. Bonehead!), but especially so if you realise that systematic bombing campaigns have NEVER EVER, on their own, achieved anything more than tactical goals. Battle of Britain? Pissed off the brits, made them fight harder. Bombing of germany: Devastated a nation, Didn't make them surrender. Japan: okay...at the end they did surrender, but it was after one year of utter devastation at the hands of B-29s (which did not shake them), an invasion poised to go off that would be agony to both sides, AND two cities wiped off the face of the earth by nukes. Vietnam: lets not go there. Iraq: devastated a military, but look who had to go in and grab the ground and hold it...foot soldiers and armour.
Now, ON TOP OF THIS, we have this message being handed out at the highest levels (Clinton and Albright and Holbrooke):
'Ground troops WILL NOT BE USED.'
Okay. So now we have just told Milo and company that all he has to do is survive a bombing campaign long enough to murder or oust all of the Albanians, and he has won. We're not going to go in and take back Kosovo. We're not gonna take Belgrade. We'll posture and whine and slap sanctions on him, but he will have what he wants. All he needs to do is endure a little aerial hardship for a few weeks.
Now, there is the possibility that Clinton is lying (Really! Don't look so shocked!) and ground troops WILL be used. Now, moving beyond the morality of lying to your constituency, he is delivering an unclear message to Milo. _IF_ you intend to use ground troops, you tell him this from the start. You say "if you don't stop, we'll bomb. If you still don't stop, we'll send in troops and clean your clock."
By saying ground troops won't be used, Clinton has severely increased the likelihood that they _will_ be used, or that we're gonna leave the job half-done. Lovely.
Okay, enough soapboxing for one day.
3. Conspiracy theories: I don't buy them. Most conspiracies end up looking like Watergate or Iran Contra. People run their mouth and bungle somewhere, and you can't keep anyone silent for long. Yeah, yeah, I know...I'm bucking a trend on this board. But I see enough clearly outlined evil intent that I don't feel the need to go looking for it elsewhere.
of course, those are just the conspiracies that got _caught_....hmmmm....*cue theme to X-Files*
Mike