Wild conspiracy theory concerning Russian Sub

Jack 99

New member
I've got a wild conspiracy theory to propogate here. First, why is this Russky sub unarmed? I don't buy it. Are subs ever disarmed, except when in the yards? Why not ask for international assistance? Why write off the crew so quickly? Right here in San Diego we have a sub retrieval vessel that can be anywhere in the world in 24 hours.

And what did it hit? Supposedly another boat. So where is that sub? Is it sitting at the bottom as well? Which nationality?

I've also heard about 4 different depths this sub is supposedly at, from 350 feet to 500 feet. At any rate, its not extraordinarily deep. I'm sure we could pull these poor SOBs out of there if we had to.

What if the Russkys were wanting to hide nukes? Wouldn't this be a convenient "storage" facility?
 
I'll bite.

Of course they're gonna say the sub doesn't have any nukes! That deserves a big *duh* and a smack on the forhead. All subs are armed to the teeth if its war or not. That the main purpose of a sub wielding nukes.. deterance.

I'm also curious to know what this sub collided with. Did another submarine escape happen to be in the area and made it out. Was it one of our subs? One of theirs? One of somebody elses?

..and being that its the latest and greatest thing in Soviet sub technology (supposively), I'm sure they would rather let it sit on the bottom of the ocean, sacrafice the life of those men and guard the site for all time -- rather than let another (US) country help retrieve it. In fact, I'd put my money on it. Anyone wanna accept that bet?

------------------
God, Guns and Guts made this country a great country!
 
Jack 99:

Not a bad "conspiracy theory" :)

You may be reading the minds of many people. Let me add a little bit of Salt to that, Umm.."theory".

Some may even say the U.S. and Russia were on a training exercise. And that a U.S. submarine sunk the Russian sub with a torpedo.

Oh-Sh!t!!!!!!

But thats crazy.

If such a thing happened, my goodness,...the Russian people on one side, and the American people on the other side would be demanding,...wa

never mind.

Im sure there is a very logical explanation to all of this.

I know they have 24 cruise missles on board.

I know the "official" explanation says that although its a "Nuclear Sub", it dont have nukes. None of those 24 missles have nukes. They are all "Decoys".

Right?

MH.
 
I've read, (don't always believe everything I read, hear, or see) that our own boomers have the hatches welded shut in accordance with some disarmament agreement.
Just because the hatches are supposedly welded shut, that doesn't mean there aren't nukes beneath them..

I can see the possibility that we're hearing a very small fractional truth in this matter.
Perhaps there really isn't a sub down at all, and it's just more distractional misinformation meant to keep the masses at unrest.

Consider this one. Remember when the Discovery blew up? It was nearly six years later that NASA and the NSA decided to release photos of the entire event. Any bets that there are world class photos of the airline "crashes" we've been seeing in this country for the last decade?
Or of anything they wanted to look at closely?
 
Just because they claim it is not armed with nukes does not mean it is not armed. Since this sub is designed to take out aircraft carriers, it might only have conventional warheads.

------------------
NRA/GOA/SAF/USMC

Oregon residents please support the Oregon Firearms Federation, our only "No compromise" gun lobby. http://www.oregonfirearms.org
 
All,

Just a quick entry into this discussion. I want to point out something that may be obvious to some but which is not being explained by the media (big surprise). The Oscar II class are NOT boomers. That is to say that they are not ballistic missile submarines (SSBN). Rather, they are guided missile carrying submarines (SSGN). This class has no real counterpart in Western navies where subs are basically attack subs (SSN) or SSBNs. Although western SSNs may make extensive use of cruise missiles (e.g. the US Los Angeles class), they are not designed around missiles as their primary armament.

The Oscar II class (like the Oscar I, Echo, and Juliet classes which preceded it) is designed from the ground up to hunt surface targets using very fast very long range very hard-hitting guided missiles. It's back-up armament consists of very fast very long range very hard-hitting torpedoes. Neither the missiles nor the torps have a western counterpart. Basically the Oscars are comparable in size to a western SSBN (14,700 tons vs the Ohio class 18,000) but have performance and missions more similar to a SSN.

The general idea with Oscar II was that it would maneuver into range of a target, receive targeting information via satellite (targeting done by other subs, ROSAT, aircraft, surface ships, etc.) and launch a salvo of missiles in coordination with missile launching aircraft and surface ships. Now you don't need mach 2+ missiles with metric ton warheads to sink a frigate (look at the track record of Exocet with its relatively puny warhead). The only targets with the robustness to require a solution as lethal as an Oscar II are US CVBGs. Thus, the Oscar II is a purpose-built "carrier killer". It is NOT a strategic platform. Its missiles were designed to carry HE, anti-radiation, or nuclear warheads but their targets were war-at-sea type targets. I'm sure you could jerry rig one of these missiles to attack strategic targets but that's not what it was designed for nor what the Soviets/Russians trained to use them for.

Hope that makes some sense. Please forgive the lengthy post.


------------------
Best,
- Jawper
 
aaaaaahhhhhhh........

**failed to even bother readin' up on the Oscar class sub**

------------------
God, Guns and Guts made this country a great country!
 
FWIW, it's being reported that there was "a torpedo explosion/malfunction" on board. Now, we all know the dingbats that report the news wouldn't know a torpedo from a tuna, so we don't really KNOW any more. Quothe the dingbat "a collision has been ruled out". More noise. I sure feel sorry for any of those poor schmoes down on the bottom tho'. It is reported that the 2 onboard kettles are shut down. They are dependant on those for life support. Why shut them down, if the damage to the boat is confined to the bow sections? A lot we don't know.

It's probably worth speculating about whether any of the SSSN-19 "Shipwreck" missiles are nuclear equipped. If it were a US SSBN, we'd be certain it was. If it were US SSN, it'd be likely they weren't. If the Roosians were loaded w/ warshots, then bet they are. However, they have a much different strategy than do we with N-wep security, which might mean keeping them on shore unless they think hostilities are likely.
 
<BLOCKQUOTE><font size="1" face="Verdana, Arial">quote:</font><HR>Remember when the Discovery blew up? [/quote]

Err... The space shuttle that blew up was the Challenger, wasn't it? ;)
 
Damn. Jawper beat me to it. Excellent explanaition of the Oscar and what it does. As to rescuing them using US equipment, the media has said 3 things, all of them sounding correct to me:

1. We have never used the DSRVs for-real. This would be a first real-world use for them.


2. The docking collars on the DSRVs are designed to mate with US/NATO hatches, not Soviet. I'm not sure how big a difference there is, but at 350-500 feet, little differences matter. ;)


3. The weather there is horrid, and while that makes no difference on the bottom, topside maneuvering with mini-subs would be well-nigh suicidal.


Also, be aware that collisions between subs and surface ships, while uncommon, is something that has plagued subs since their inception. (I assume the Oscar bumped a surface ship- is this correct?) Remember- the sub can't see the ship and the ship can't see the sub, until the sub comes shallow enough to raise its scope...and by then, its likely too late. Subs are VERY fragile...in a collision they almost always lose.

Mike




------------------
"A human being should be able to change a diaper, plan an invasion, butcher a hog, conn a ship, design a building, write a sonnet, balance accounts, build a wall, set a bone, comfort the dying, take orders, give orders, cooperate, act alone, solve equations, analyze a new problem, pitch manure, program a computer, cook a tasty meal, fight efficiently, die gallantly. Specialization is for insects." -Robert Heinlein
 
Coronach hit it on the head, Our docking collar is not compatible with the soviet collar, and at 500 feet, IT DOES MAKE A DEADLY DIFFERENCE! Unfortunately the "Universal docking collar" in Hunt For Red October is only a fantasy. As to conspiracy theories, I think the most likely is a collision with another Soviet ship, or an impact with the icepack wich they were running around under. Having been on a few 688's, all I can say is, the sailors who ride the subs deserve all the pampering they get.

------------------
"Government is not the solution to the problem, Government is the problem!"--Ronald Reagan
 
They were conducting war exercises. I would bet that US & British subs were lurking in the area. If it was a collision, the Russains don't want to admit that a NATO sub can get so close undetected, and I doubt NATO would say anything either for fear that public outcry would force less effective war simulation practice.
 
Jawper - Thanks for a first-rate post.

I don't buy into the conspiracy stuff. At this point it looks like an explosion in the forward torpedo room. Another article reported that one of our spy ships heard an explosion.

I caught Tom Clancy on Larry King (I wuz surfin', Honest!). He pointed out that the boat is on it's side, compounding any rescue attempt. Also, the Russians don't use retractable rods in their reactors, so they can't fire them up anyway. I'm not familiar with that last, but I guess it has something to do with the coolant.

Here's an interesting article from the AP.

http://capitolhillblue.com/a/ap.washington/20000814/3998af27.44d9.6/ap.asp

Pentagon: US Vessel Didn't Hit Sub

WASHINGTON (AP) - No U.S. ship or submarine was involved in the collision that Russian officials said caused one of their submarines to plunge to the bottom of the Barents Sea, the Pentagon said Monday.

Two U.S. Navy submarines were operating in the area at the time of the accident, and one reported having heard an explosion at the site Saturday, a Clinton administration official said late Monday. The official, who spoke on condition of anonymity, is familiar with U.S. intelligence reports on the matter.

Russian officials said the incident happened Sunday, but the U.S. official said it was Saturday.

``There were some U.S. submarines in the area,'' the official said. ``All indications are that there was no U.S. involvement (in the accident). We know the U.S. units are OK.''

The U.S. Navy surveillance ship, the USNS Loyal, was monitoring submarine movements in the vicinity of the Barents Sea at the time of the accident but was far from the scene of the accident, Pentagon officials said.

Russian officials said the submarine Kursk, with a crew of more than 100, apparently was in a major collision and sustained serious damage.

``We have no indication that a U.S. vessel was involved in this accident,'' Pentagon spokesman Rear Adm. Craig Quigley said. He would not say, however, whether a U.S. submarine was in the area at the time.

White House spokesman Joe Lockhart, with President Clinton at the Democratic National Convention in Los Angeles, said the administration ``made clear to the Russians that any assistance we can offer is available.'' He said national security adviser Sandy Berger reiterated this in a telephone conversation with Russian officials. ``At this point there's been no request for our assistance,'' Lockhart added.

U.S. submarines normally monitor the movement of Russian submarines. It was even more likely in this case because of the size of the Russian naval exercise, which Pentagon officials described as the largest of the year.

Because of the major role submarines play in gathering foreign intelligence, the Navy usually is reluctant to discuss details of their movements.

The Barents Sea is often patrolled by U.S. submarines. In 1993 a U.S. submarine, the USS Grayling, collided with a Russian ballistic missile submarine, causing slight damage to both vessels. A year earlier, also in the Barents Sea, the USS Baton Rouge sub hit a Russian sub, also causing minimal damage.

Several major Russian military seaports are located on the Kola peninsula and Russian vessels must transit the Barents Sea to reach the Atlantic.

Quigley said the U.S. military had not been asked to assist in a potential rescue of the Russian crew. It was not clear what assistance was possible, even if requested.

The U.S. Navy has a rescue vessel designed to bring the crew of a U.S. or allied submarine to safety, even at depths far beyond that where the disabled Russian submarine rested. But U.S. military officials said they were not certain whether the rescue vessel is compatible with Russian submarines hatches.

The U.S. vessel, known as a Deep Submergence Rescue Vessel, is designed for quick deployment in the event of a submarine accident. The rescue vessel is transportable by truck, aircraft, ship, or by a specially configured attack submarine. The only two such vessels in the Navy's inventory are based in San Diego.

A retired U.S. Navy officer familiar with submarine rescue operations said that when the Navy developed its rescue vessels in the 1960s it told Russia and other submarine-faring nations how to design their hatches to make them compatible with the rescue vessel. The officer, who discussed the matter via telephone with Pentagon reporters on condition of anonymity, said it was not known whether the Oscar-class submarine involved in the accident has a compatible hatch.

Although the U.S. rescue vessels are used frequently in training, they have never been used in an actual rescue.

At the accident site, the 49-foot rescue vessel dives, conducts a sonar search, and attaches to the disabled submarines hatch. The rescue vessel can take aboard up to 24 personnel for transfer to safety.

The rescue vessels were developed as a result of the USS Thresher submarine accident in the North Atlantic in April 1963, in which all 129 aboard were lost. At the time, submarine operating depths greatly exceeded the capabilities of rescue vessels.

The Deep Submergence Systems Project contracted with Lockheed Missiles and Space Co. to produce a deep-diving rescue submarine, the first of which was launched in 1970.

Copyright 2000 Associated Press.
 
Russia has reported that rescue operations are underway today. Best of luck to the sailors under there.

As far as it being an explosion in the torpedo bay, I think that's highly possible with or without a collision to set it off. Stuff happens, and the soviets aren't known for their high level of quality control, or for working all the bugs out of highly-experimental stuff before they issue it. The Soviets developed some neato torpedoes that take advantage of a "bubble" effect that certain shapes of objects can create at high speeds. Basically, this means that the torpedo travels in an air pocket, rather than having the drag of the water around it. It also means that the torpedo is difficult to steer (okay, impossible AFIK), but it travels at nearly mach 1 underwater, straight to the target. We don't have anything comparable in service, at least officially.

Creepy, but neat.
 
Regarding speculation as to whether the SS-N-19 missiles might be nuclear armed, I believe there was a bilateral agreement under the Bush Administration that removed nuclear armed cruise missiles from U.S. and Russian submarines.
 
Read on another BBS that we had a sub limp in with damage to it's conning tower and portside. Maybe BS instead of BBS. ;)

I keep thinking about a movie I saw...can't recall the name but it was about a Soviet sub that was sunk in a crevasse...turns out some sort of bio weapon had gotten loose and changed the crew into man-eating fish monsters. And I keep thinking about the movie "The Thing" or maybe they hit an alien spacecraft. :)

Hey...it's just as plausible as any other theories I've heard. :)

------------------
Satanta, the Whitebear
Sat's Realm: http://SatantasRealm.tripod.com/Entrypage/entrypage.html

My Disability petition: http://www.PetitionOnline.com/DisbHelp/petition.html
 
<BLOCKQUOTE><font size="1" face="Verdana, Arial">quote:</font><HR>Subs are VERY fragile...in a collision they almost always lose.
[/quote]

Really? I would have thought that a sub, being designed to withstand the pressures of the ocean depths, would have an extremely strong hull. Of course, if it's the bow or keel of a ship versus the side of a sub, I can imagine a knife-versus-salami scenario. ;)
 
I sit corrected. :rolleyes:

Point was of course, how much of this Tom Clancy novel will we ever realize to be true, or "theory"?
 
For a great look into the world of submarine operations read BLIND MAN'S BLUFF. Some of the stuff we had going on was positively freaky.

In a recent newspaper report it was mentioned that the maintenance budget for the Russian Navy is 10% of what is considered safe. I'm not surprised that there might have been a catastrophic equipment failure.
 
Back
Top