If max load vel is 2780,its a clue if you hit 2780 one grain below max.Pressure makes velocity.You hit max pressure
MAYBE
And, maybe not.
Pressure does make velocity. BUT, it does NOT do so uniformly in every barrel. There is a relationship between pressure and velocity, but it is not linear in any one gun, and not consistent from one gun to another.
It is a general thing, more pressure means more velocity, but beyond that, every gun can be a different individual.
Lets take that max load vel of 2780fps, for an example. You got data that says max load is 2780fps. Fine.
I have 3 rifles, as identical in all aspects as we can make them, shooting the same ammo, again, as identical in all aspects as we can make it.
Rifle #1 shoots 2780fps
Rifle #2 shoots 2730fps
Rifle #3 shoots 2830fps
Identical rifles and ammo (as close as possible) different MV speeds.
Which one is overpressure???
(the reality is that velocity alone, only tells you velocity)
suppose I'm shooting a gun with a barrel 4" shorter than the test gun in the loading data? I may never get to see 2780fps. Does that mean I'm never going to be overpressure? (Answer, NO, it does NOT mean I will never be overpressure)
All kinds of factors are involved, which means you cannot tell FOR CERTAIN if a load is "overpressure" simply by velocity alone.
And, equally important, overpressure compared to what????
SAAMI specs?? What are SAAMI specs?
They are a number agreed upon by the gun and ammo makers as a safe place to stop for ammo that can work safely in EVERY GUN chambered in that caliber,
It's NOT the edge of a cliff, its more like the edge of the cleared, level playing field. Yes, somewhere out there, beyond the edge of the field IS a cliff. But between the edge of the field and the cliff there are rocks, and sticks, and hillocks, and rabbit holes and cowpies, and other things that impede your running downfield.
What you are "driving" matters. A lot. Cars aren't a perfect analogy, but I think they can come close, sometimes.
lets say there is a SAAMI speed limit sign on a curve that says 40mph. I can take that curve with anything on the road from a sportscar to a semi truck at 40mph, safely staying on the road, and in my lane.
Now, I know from carefully "working up" my speed on the curve, in my sports car, with its low center of gravity and tuned suspension, that I can take that curve at 65mph, and stay in my lane. BUT, in my 3/4 ton pick up truck, if I take that curve at 50mps, my truck drifts to the edge of the road. AND, because of that, I know that if I tried it with a semi, over the posted speed it would actually be dangerous.
And, getting back to guns, even within SAAMI specs there are adjustments that often have to be made for different guns. Ever hear of some hot loads (but still within SAAMI specs) working fine in a bolt action, but jamming a semi auto because it couldn't extract the fired case??
All reloading data is GUIDELINES, its accurately telling you what they did, and what they got for results. Your gun, and your ammo may be essentially identical, or they may be significantly different.
This is why, even WITHIN published data guidelines, we work up loads, carefully and slowly in small increments of change, to ensure that what they got and what we get are similar enough to live with and be safe, and why when they are different, we STOP and figure out why they are different, and what, if anything, we can do about it.