Putin has repeatedly over the last 8 years made it clear to the Bush administration what Russia would do in regard to Georgia and other regions
that affect Russia's security and its concerns about autonomous Russian communities ie. during Bush's first term, Bush attended the ballet with Putin and Voronin<sp>who is the elected leader of Moldova...who presides over part of the tenuous Transniestra region of Moldova where Russia has sent peacekeepers to protect ethnic Russians. The Bush administration is well aware of these concerns; it's not as if Putin suddenly made a bold surprising move. The real surprise is that Georgia attacked Ossetia despite Russia's repeated warnings...and that Georgia continues to receive military aid from the U.S.
Face it, Bush's foreign policy record is abysmal. I felt Clinton was wrong to bomb Serbia and that Clinton should have not gone against Serbia without cooperative support from Russia...because it set the stage for more problems down the road. At the time Clinton acted against Serbia, the U.S. had the attitude that Russia was hopelessly weak. Then the U.S.A. practically gloated about Russia's problems with Chechnya. Now here we are, and Russia is stronger ie. the Russian economy has improved while the economies of places like Georgia has weakened. Now instead of gloating about Russia's problems with Chechnya, the U.S. is now bogged down in Iraq and Afghanistan, and has lost more soldiers in Iraq than Russia lost in Chechnya. Bush was still calling Chechens 'freedom fighters' while complaining about Russia not supprting the U.S. invasion of Iraq.
Things have come full circle. Russia repeatedly warned the Bush Administration that an invasion of Iraq was sheer madness, and I don't believe Putin was trying to hurt the U.S.A. when he so warned us. Russia doesn't want to occupy Georgia. Russia just wants Georgia to be a good neighbor, and to not start any crap on Russia's border by persecuting ethnic Russians or pointing U.S. arms at the heart of Russia.
The democrats are behaving a bit spinelessly too ie. one senses that both Dems and Repubs. yearn for the certainty of the old Cold War era. I don't believe either party is comfortable with the future of a Europe that is no longer galvinized by the Cold War. It's hard to keep U.S. soldiers in Europe when Russia won't cooperate by having its own troops there too. I think both the Dems and Repubs are ironically horrified at the prospect of seeing a strong E.U. that includes a strong friendly and more open Russia ajoined to it. Like Gorbachev said: We are about to do something very cruel to the U.S.A.; we are going to remove its enemy.' I hope the Obama administration will rise to the occasion and improve U.S./Russian relations, but it might also fail in this arena. The problem with the Bush Administration - is that Bush fell into the trap of trying to weaken Russia via putting a military ring around Russia and bribing breakaway republics to supprt the U.S.A. It backfired ie. Iraq weakened the U.S.A. and weakened the ring. The U.S.A. alienated key allies and simultaneously failed to realise that Russia's economy was improving...while the breakaway republics were fragile and sometimes less democratic than Russia ,herself.
Bush failed whereas Putin succeeded. Bush adoted a policy of aggressive invasions and occupations whereas Putin adopted a policy of containment and surgical strikes. Yeltsin blundered into Chechnya in much the same way Bush blundered into Iraq. Putin turned Yeltsin's blunder into a war of withdrawel and containment. Bush took a contained Iraq and turned it into a blundering invasion and quagmire occupation. Putin has no interest in occupying Georgia. Putin can truely say 'Mission Accomplished.' Bush can only look on in dismay and try to resurrect the Cold War to cover the tracks of his own ineptitude.
Obama will be greeted warmly by the Russian people.
Obama will be accepted - and Russia will go to great lenghts to reestablish improved U.S./Russian relations. Incidentally, Bill Clinton is an honorary board member of Moscow University.
Maybe Obama will be given similar honors.