How much bullet weight variance for bulk 55g fmj?

I'm a statistician of sorts so 'variance' has a very specific meaning/definition to me when dealing with numbers related to measurement, which may not be the same as others.
 
Shadow9mm said:
10fps, off of a 50fps extreme spread is a 20% improvement. Even off of a 100fps extreme spread thats a 10% improvement. Thats significant imho. Im about half way through sorting about 1000 bullets now.

Except it won't be 10fps 0ff. It will be about 0.9 fps off. The reason is statistical. For 10 fps to come off, the direction of the velocity errors and their magnitudes have to be simultaneously the same every time you fire a shot. The odds against that happening randomly are astronomical. The two are independent variables, and therefore their standard deviations are independent, so you have to add the effects of their standard deviations, which, it turns out, add up as the square root of the sum of their squares.

√((54 fps)²+(10 fps)²) = 54.918 fps average velocity difference for the combined error sources.

Now, if you get the cases perfectly prepped and matching in volume, and get them perfectly primed with weighed primers so that they don't become a source of error, and have all the powder charges matching to the nth degree, then your bullet weight influence will become the dominant term, and then you should be able to improve matters by weighing the bullets.

Note that none of this is to say weighing bullets won't help accuracy, even if they don't influence velocity variation as much as you'd hoped. This is because you narrow the tooling, so they may be ballistically more uniform as to BC and, therefore, more uniformly deflected by wind. If they line up in nice columns, check each column in separate loads to see if one shoots better than the others. If it does, sort more for that weight and keep them aside for accuracy applications.
 
With less expensive bulk .223 55 fmj, am more concerned with keeping the leading edge of the full dia out as far as practical and consistent length to base of case. Course this depends on the specific bullet, as all 55 fmj are not the same.

For my purposes of using a 55 fmj, ain't about to spend time weighing/sorting them.
 
Except it won't be 10fps 0ff. It will be about 0.9 fps off. The reason is statistical. For 10 fps to come off, the direction of the velocity errors and their magnitudes have to be simultaneously the same every time you fire a shot. The odds against that happening randomly are astronomical. The two are independent variables, and therefore their standard deviations are independent, so you have to add the effects of their standard deviations, which, it turns out, add up as the square root of the sum of their squares.

√((54 fps)²+(10 fps)²) = 54.918 fps average velocity difference for the combined error sources.

Now, if you get the cases perfectly prepped and matching in volume, and get them perfectly primed with weighed primers so that they don't become a source of error, and have all the powder charges matching to the nth degree, then your bullet weight influence will become the dominant term, and then you should be able to improve matters by weighing the bullets.

Note that none of this is to say weighing bullets won't help accuracy, even if they don't influence velocity variation as much as you'd hoped. This is because you narrow the tooling, so they may be ballistically more uniform as to BC and, therefore, more uniformly deflected by wind. If they line up in nice columns, check each column in separate loads to see if one shoots better than the others. If it does, sort more for that weight and keep them aside for accuracy applications.
I just ran the numbers in grt with the bullet weight variances. Kind of simplistic, but its what i had to work with. For a 16in barrel it showed a variance of 7fps.
 
With less expensive bulk .223 55 fmj, am more concerned with keeping the leading edge of the full dia out as far as practical and consistent length to base of case. Course this depends on the specific bullet, as all 55 fmj are not the same.

For my purposes of using a 55 fmj, ain't about to spend time weighing/sorting them.
I agree, but i had some time to kill and decided to try it and see what would happen. Figured it couldn't hurt anything.
 
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