gyvel said:
...I have been laboring under the conception (or possible misconception/misunderstanding) that imports from Russia have been sanctioned all along, and that all Russian surplus guns and material coming into the U.S. have been from former satellite SSRs and not from Russia itself.
They
are sanctioned, but the sanctions are not absolute.
Small arms from the former USSR are subject to a 1996 trade agreement that limits what may be imported. The list can be found in § 27 CFR 47.52(b).
http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/CFR-2002-title27-vol1/pdf/CFR-2002-title27-vol1-sec47-52.pdf
I'll confess that I don't know what all of the "MC"-prefix firearms are, but the Tokarev TT-33, Makarov PM, Dragunov SVD, PSM, SKS, SVT-38, SVT-40, and Kalashnikov rifle types other than the Saiga and VEPR* are notable in their absence.
Also, I'm not certain how the VEPR* 12 (and formerly the Saiga 12) get around the sanctions, as they're not rifles. Perhaps someone can fill me in.
Technosavant said:
I wonder if that has to do with cost.
JohnKSa said:
That's the crux of the matter. The main effect is going to be a cost increase due to the reduction in competition from relatively low cost Russian imports.
Precisely. AFAIK the VEPR* 12 now has the market for box-magazine semi-auto shotguns all to itself. Basic economics tells us that rising demand and a lack of competition results in higher prices, and we all know that rumors of impending bans tend to drive up demand in the American commercial arms market.
I don't believe that the Russians have magic Slavic gnomes who can assemble AK-pattern shotguns cheaper than anyone else in the world.
I believe that the main factor that has made US gunmakers hesitant to produce these shotguns is a perceived lack of demand coupled with the cost of all-new tooling. However, if it can be demonstrated that people will happily pay $1,000+ for these shotguns, IMHO this will likely overcome their hesitation.
*Can anyone tell me for certain whether "VEPR/Vepr" is supposed to be capitalized?