Why are we bringing Einstein into this?
Because whoever first invokes
Time's Man of the 20th Century wins the debate, dude.
As much as I love to get my nerd on with physics (pretty much all kinds) I don't think this is the space for it.
I invoked Albert appropriately to demonstrate that knowledge can be gained through in the use of thought experiments (aka conceptual modeling) in lieu of nicely tabulated findings of an experiment tailored to the problem one is exploring.
Can we also avoid a "logical fallacy" fight... The last one I got involved in had the other guy switching to Ad Hominem so fast, I think he threw out some joints in his fingers. (he failed at proper civil discourse/debate, when where and why in his arguments was pointed out, it went nasty fast on their end)
Easily avoided if folks don't bring fallacious argumentation to the thread.
My basic points summed up...
Trigger control is not always successful. Stressors can lead to lapses in following training.
Amen, brother! I think we are making progress. While it is important to stress trigger control -- and ongoing education, repetitive as it is, is part of the process -- trigger-control training is not the end all, be all of gun safety. Cooper showed us that gun safety is a multi-pronged issue. A nasty gun accident usually involves at least two of his Four Rules being violated.
Safeties are likewise vulnerable.
Yes they are. While I was taught to use my safeties by Dad, when I got old enough to take the NRA-sponsored hunters' safety course, I couldn't help but realize there were differences. When I asked the instructor why no mention of the safety was made, I was told that is because safe gun handling should not be predicated on the use of a safety. In other words, the affirmative external safety is an extra feature to enhance gun handling safety momentarily. Just because a "safed gun is not safe" doesn't mean an external safety cannot be used to good effect to enhance safety.
Note that Cooper's Rules make no mention of use of an external safety. Yet, Cooper is credited with popularizing Condition 1 carry (although the Army had that figured out as early as 1912).
The idea that they can provide an extra level of prevention... I find dubious... When looked at directly, it does seem logical...
What's logical -- the effectiveness or dubiousness of external safety use?
The problems arise in actual use scenarios.
During times of stress, large portions of training and procedures can be forgotten or neglected. So an extra layer of safety is available, but just as likely to be forgotten. I have seen several people screw up both trigger discipline and safety discipline within minutes of each other.
I have also seen people forget to disengage the safety, and freeze and spaz out for several seconds trying to comprehend why the gun isn't working. Longer than it would have taken them had they just been calmly firing at the range. I have even seen someone do immediate action when this happened to them. Which obviously didn't work and added confusion.
And this was just training... I would imagine actual life or death situations would only compound the problem.
That's why we train before we encounter a life and death situation.
Your argument can be applied to trigger finger control, but no one, not even the pro-external-safety crowd, advocates for doing away with trigger finger control training, despite that no one can credibly dispute that trigger finger control training is not 100% effective.
Not one of Cooper's Four Rules is 100% effective. That's why there is redundancy. Cooper also knew that less is more -- four complementary, concisely stated rules will mean more to most (because they will be remembered) than a long list that will likely not be comprehensive. For example, Cooper believed in using a thumb safety, but didn't bother to mention it in his Four Rules. Because he felt that the use of such a safety was self evident? Remember that our Federalist Founders argued against codifying a Bill of Rights, because there was no need -- such natural, God-given rights were self-evident. If the Federalists knew what happened to self-evident, unalienable, natural rights I'm sure they'd be pleased to know the Bill of Rights was a good idea.
The long pull of a DA may prevent a subset of NDs, but it is still vulnerable. Being that such things are highly situational, a blanket statement that they prevent NDs is not justifiable.
Yes, a long and heavy DA trigger will undoubtedly reduce a gun's ND rate, but not to zero. Nothing will do that, not with current technology that is affordable and practicable.
What about gun handling is not situational? No one is arguing that a long and heavy trigger pull eliminates all NDs.
They can help in some instances, but its just as likely that the same thing could be said of a glock trigger.
I'd like to hear the conceptual model that demonstrates the Glock trigger is a net safety benefit. The news stories about the effect of police departments switching to Glocks were about the ND rate increasing, not decreasing or staying the same.
You can try to imagine a situation where someone pulls a trigger x ammount with y force, and the DA is fine but a glock is not. But how much of a percentage of all potential NDs does that entail? Is that the middle of the bell curve?
One of the studies did just that -- the German study using a SIG fitted with a pressure sensor on the trigger. It provides two points on the probability curve, enough to fit a curve if a distributional form (lognormal?) is assumed. The study likely overestimates the DA trip rate, because it seems like only trigger finger pressure, not length of pull, was measured.
There are startle movements, which are likely to defeat any trigger. Then there are subtle tension movements, which are likely to only defeat a 1911 trigger. Then there is the bumps and snags, which would encompass a wide range of force/movement amounts. It is this range that one could argue on the merits of trigger weight and pull distance. Still where do they fall on the curve?
I can't think of a startle, or a loss of balance that will defeat a safetied trigger, regardless of pull length or weight. I suppose it could happen, but two obstacles in the way of an ND is almost certainly more effective than in reducing the rate of NDs than merely one such obstacle.
Also... I don't think we have seen any breakdowns of NDs by pistol type.
Again, news exposes about how police departmental NDs climbed after switching from DA revolvers, as predicted by the FBI, is fairly strong qualitative evidence. I'd like to see a meaningful study. I'm pretty confident Glock won't fund one.
Glocks are extremely popular. One of the, if not the, most popular pistol in the US right now, and very popular with new shooters due to reputation and name recognition.
Argumentum ad populum (if that was intended to be an implied argument).
NDs broke down per capita would be very useful. That is a normalized data set that removes a variable that has a high impact on the numbers.
If per capita means per Glock, I kind of agree. Normalizing it by carry time would be good, too. The implicit data behind the news exposés is somewhat normalized in the tabulations of NDs by year can be assumed, if the size of the affected police force did not change appreciably over time.
You can't go by "Well you never heard of ND problems back in the days of (insert gun type here)"... Because just like modern media makes the world seem more dangerous now than it was 10-20+ years ago, despite falling crime rates... due to the shear amount of info we are presented with... The same is true for NDs. We hear about them more, because its easier to get access to the story when it happens.
Or, we hear more about NDs because the numbers have climbed along with the numbers of less-safe guns on the street.
One could argue that their personal method of using a thumb safety is more "safe"... but that does not change the fact that current training doctrine says that a manual safety is to be disengaged as the firearm is brought to bear on the target... not after.
I'm not responsible for unsafe use of safeties. During training one typically assumes the decision has been made to fire before drawing one's handgun. Ask Officer Slager in NC how that doctrine is working for him. A close viewing of the bystander's video shows Scott to be on top of Slager at the start, and it's clear to me that Slager was entirely justified in drawing his weapon and thinking at the time he did so that he would be justified in firing. It appears that Scott wisely read the tea leaves and disengaged by turning and resuming his run, this time as a violent felon who had just assaulted an officer. If Slager had had a step in his decision loop to reassess the need to fire after the draw, or to continually reassess during the entire draw, perhaps he wouldn't be facing a manslaughter or murder charge now.
The Slager case has nothing directly to do with a safety, as I believe his weapon was safetiless. But, the way I was taught to handle a gun deactivating the thumb safety would have been the final act before squeezing the trigger, giving me one last opportunity to refrain from shooting.
Also I find it irksome, that something is declared "flawed" simply because it uses a different design philosophy and different priorities, than one's own personal views.
My declaration of design flaws is influenced by the training I received in my youth, by the exercise of logic in my adult life, but is based primarily on the common knowledge that safetiless guns with short and light trigger pulls have an elevated ND rate.
Not being a gun designer, I have no design philosophy. I do have a user philosophy and am biased toward safety. If I were into declaring design flaws merely on the basis of personal priorities I would deem all polymer-framed guns aesthetically flawed.
Car A has a small trunk and only 125hp... Car B has a big trunk and 300hp...
Is car A "flawed"? No, it simply has a different set of priorities than car B.
But, if Car A has a tendency to flip over in a turn or go up in flames after a rear-end collision, it almost certainly has some safety design flaws.
Glocks are duty pistols... designed to be quick into action when danger is unpredictable and happens quickly. The small chance for NDs due to poor handling, was weighed as less important than being ready for the high likelihood of danger requiring quick action. Police and military can be reasonably assumed to be in a situation where the chances of a dangerous encounter are much greater than that of a civilian.
I trust you are not trying to say that only police and military should be allowed Glocks.
I'd like to see the data on just how much flipping off a thumb safety slows down a draw in a dire situation. The absence of such easily obtained data is more mysterious than the absence of a civilian ND rate by brand database. I've never had a problem deactivating a thumb safety, although the sample size of just me cannot be reliably extrapolated to the general population.
The military might not always be in a war, but when they are... priorities are on being ready, winning the fight. Police can be confronted with a dangerous person on any given day they are on duty, and the same priorities are there.
I've never been in the military, but if war comes to my neighborhood, my priorities will include being ready and winning the fight. And I won't be carrying Condition 3 like many militaries do. As a citizen I can be confronted by a dangerous person on any given day, and if I am the same priorities will apply.
Some civilians desire the same... not all will be as diligent as they should, but we can't force the issue, we can only guide in the right direction.
I don't see how an affirmative safety is any impediment.
The surest direction for success is training.
But good design for safety combined with training trumps training alone.
Remember... those untrained users will be equally risky with any firearm... as it requires training to know what is or is not safe, and how to operate a firearm, and any safeties on it.
I sincerely doubt that. A green user is probably safest with a DAO revolver. To assume all guns are equally safe (or unsafe, depending on your perspective) is naïve. For example, I think it is the CZ 52 that the decocker is affectionately regarded as the auxiliary trigger, because decocking is known to sometimes result in an unintended discharge. That pistol is less safe than a pistol with a non-flawed decocker.
I regard them as flawed in design with respect to safety.
This is a distinction you have never made to this point. If it was implied, it was missed by most of us at least.
This is an important distinction... and one that can be addressed in a much more constructive manner.
I'll admit that three years ago, after considering a Glock, but buying a CZ, I had Glocks categorized as "unsafe," but perhaps a year later I was persuaded to alter my position to "less safe." If I haven't made that clear I'm guilty of poor writing.
I was trained in my youth to regard all guns as unsafe and requiring handling with respect for personal safety and the safety of others.
You are obligated, under rules of productive debate,
True... and I can not claim to be the bastion of all logic and perfect skills of civil discourse... I try... sometimes I make mistakes.
I strive to be logical, but tact is not my strong suit. I don't view you or anyone else here as a bad guy, and I enjoy the debate. It was similar discussions that prompted me to rethink my position on the Glock and elevate it from unsafe to less safe. Heck, maybe some day I'll buy one, slap a thumb safety on it.
Overall, I feel the ND problem is fairly even across the board when variables are factored out. Any differences would be within the margin of error.
Sounds like a statement of religious belief, not a conclusion of logical thought. Your feeling does not explain the news exposés on Glock NDs. I think those surfaced about a decade or more ago, about a decade after the switch from revolvers to Glocks occurred. It may be that peak of elevated Glock NDs is behind us, although I suspect a residual remains, as demonstrated by the Glock NDing in a purse in VA in March.
I don't think Glocks or similar designs are flawed, they just have a different design goal. Whether or not that goal aligns with yours is another matter. While most would agree with your priorities of firearm ownership and defensive use/carry, how those priorities are assessed, and their personal levels of acceptable risk will not always align with yours.
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I could care less about the risk to himself someone assumes by carrying a Glock. It's the risk to others that concerns me.
We can't let ourselves fall into the "every mistake or potential mistake is a tragedy" mindset... that is the exact mindset anti-gun people use to justify their views. We do not need to help them along.
I agree that "tragedy" is a word vastly overused. But are you revealing a bit of ankle here? Are you concerned that admitting that safetiless guns are less safe will somehow feed the anti-gun beast? I doubt it will. Besides, we would do best to admit reality a fight for our rights from there.