OK, somebody check my logic here.
There's FOUR possible outcomes:
1) "Emerson wins on the second": this is the ultimate for us. The 5th backs the trial judge completely, in his comprehensive analysis of the individual right principle in the 2A. This is also the "simplest" answer for the 5th to write because all they have to do is "rubber-stamp" the trial court's killer, awesome decision in our favor.
2) "Emerson wins on the 10th": in this variant, the 5th skips the direct RKBA question and rules that none of this has anything to do with interstate commerce and is therefore totally beyond the Fed's jurisdiction. This might severely restrict Fed gun control BUT it leaves the states totally free to screw us.
As I see it, a win on the 2nd is better because it's fairly easy to argue it should apply to the states. Stephen Halbrook has already laid the groundwork there, by showing that a key reason for the 14A was to protect black access to defensive firearms...implying that the 2A was "incorporated" down to the states.
3) "Emerson wins on the 5th amendment": This is the "cop-out" danger; basically, a ruling that Mr. Emerson wasn't properly warned by the state of Texas that his RO caused Federal gun restrictions to apply to him...therefore "due process" was violated. This would be a real turd, for us. It also disarms poor Mr. Emerson, although he walks so he wouldn't be too unhappy.
4) "Gov't wins": in which case, the 5th circuit would have to rule that the 2nd is a collective right, because the trial court based it's primary cause for releasing Emerson as a second amendment thing.
Does this sound about right?
Jim
There's FOUR possible outcomes:
1) "Emerson wins on the second": this is the ultimate for us. The 5th backs the trial judge completely, in his comprehensive analysis of the individual right principle in the 2A. This is also the "simplest" answer for the 5th to write because all they have to do is "rubber-stamp" the trial court's killer, awesome decision in our favor.
2) "Emerson wins on the 10th": in this variant, the 5th skips the direct RKBA question and rules that none of this has anything to do with interstate commerce and is therefore totally beyond the Fed's jurisdiction. This might severely restrict Fed gun control BUT it leaves the states totally free to screw us.
As I see it, a win on the 2nd is better because it's fairly easy to argue it should apply to the states. Stephen Halbrook has already laid the groundwork there, by showing that a key reason for the 14A was to protect black access to defensive firearms...implying that the 2A was "incorporated" down to the states.
3) "Emerson wins on the 5th amendment": This is the "cop-out" danger; basically, a ruling that Mr. Emerson wasn't properly warned by the state of Texas that his RO caused Federal gun restrictions to apply to him...therefore "due process" was violated. This would be a real turd, for us. It also disarms poor Mr. Emerson, although he walks so he wouldn't be too unhappy.
4) "Gov't wins": in which case, the 5th circuit would have to rule that the 2nd is a collective right, because the trial court based it's primary cause for releasing Emerson as a second amendment thing.
Does this sound about right?
Jim