I have trouble believing there were more cannon in private hands before the war of 1812 than in army hands.
A noted above, the US government had no standing army to speak of and the navy was basically privatized. The field artillery was almost all captured British. When captured in the Revolution it more or less became the property of the unit commander. After the war, like most US wars until Vietnam, soldiers just walked away with pretty much all the equipment they could carry. It is said that on the fourth of July you could hear cannons being shot anywhere in the entire country for decades after the revolution b/c all of the private cannons being fired in celebration.
Post war of 1812 is where you start to see a standing army in the US. My guess is artillery was predominantly in private hands long after the war of 1812. An old Napoleonic cannon is much more devastating than a semi-automatic rifle, especially in a "mass shooting." My guess is that around 1840 the field artillery in private hands is starting to become obsolete and the US gov't invests in some newer pieces. I am sure by the Civil War the shift had occurred. If state and local militias are put in the "private" column, maybe not though. It isn't like they were registered or needed an NICS check
I also have trouble believing the Taliban has no funding and fewer weapons than civilians.
I meant US civilians. Maybe you did not understand that. If you did and you don't agree, well, we do. We have a lot more guns also. We have a lot more everything.
Drones and guided missiles are great, when you aren't attacking targets mixed with your tax base who speak the same language and look just or may even be related to your soldiers. There are so many advantages US civilians have over the other insurgencies the US military has lost.
But how the Taliban, just like the VC, can win is simple: they don't have to go anywhere.
Where would US civilians need to go? Nowhere. They don't need to occupy or control anything either. Just exist.
All they have to do is wait out the enemy, which currently is us.
Would the US gov't be able to borrow ANY money with a revolution taking place? How long do you think it would take them to miss payroll? The only advantage they really have over US civilians is how much softer US civilians are than Taliban fighter or VC. "I ordered a Venti with soy, not skim."
Is this going to happen? I think not. Obama is going to try to pass some wimpy EOs that it appears may be tamed by threats of retaliation on other issues. Maybe the EOs will finally be reigned in which would be very good for 'Merica. If it does happen I am volunteering to be the diplomat to Switzerland for whichever side I am standing next to when it starts. I tried to calculate inches of concrete wall between myself and a cyclic M2 firing in my direction and extrapolate how safe I was once, all while the hospital behind me got pounded, and that was enough.
However, one think I doubt they thought about was someone shooting up a schoolhouse, not that there were many schools at the time.
Maybe not, but launching a 6 pounder into a Tavern or shelling a city had to enter their mind. You know, because they witnessed it.