Oley,
The gun's chamber size has a lot to do with it, as do other factors. For example, Winchester case capacity was about 30.1 grains in data at 6mmBR.com, and LC averaged more like 30.5 grains in their measurements. More capacity means lower pressure. We don't know the hardness of your bullet. You are using a magnum primer, but not one that is as warm as some. Your lot of powder's burn rate could differ up to 3% from Hodgdon's reference lot. Your ambient temperature and Hodgdon's test temperature could differ, not to mention your rate of fire causing your barrel temperature to be different from theirs. All these factors create a grab bag of variables to account for that can easily bend pressures a fair amount.
For example, though magnum primers tend to make loads hotter, sometimes the opposite happens because they unseat the bullet before the powder really gets burning, and that results in a larger starting burn space for the powder. And that can be erratic when it is happening, as many a .22 Hornet shooter can tell you, with some load pressures high and some low.
Check your gun's performance with your established load and see if it has changed. If you have chronograph data from it under similar conditions, that's the best clue. If not, look at accuracy, where the gun throws ejected cases, etc. Those can be clues the upper is in pain. Taking a micrometer to checking the barrel diameter over the chamber for a bulge is another.