TheBluesMan
Moderator Emeritus
<BLOCKQUOTE><font size="1" face="Verdana, Arial">quote:</font><HR>Excerpted from "Remembering Amadou Diallo"
by Stuart Buck,
from Intellectual Capital, http://www.intellectualcapital.com
"We all suffer from a cognitive bias known as the availability heuristic. The availability heuristic (identified by psychologists Kahneman and Tversky in a famous 1973 article) causes us to overestimate the probability of an event if an example comes readily to mind.
Thus, when people are asked whether more words begin with "r" or have "r" as the third letter, people wrongly say that more words begin with "r" -- because it is easier to think of such examples. People overestimate the likelihood of plane crashes versus auto crashes, because of the coverage given airline crashes. Many women overestimate their risk of dying of breast cancer -- which gets lots of publicity -- even though they face a far higher risk of dying from heart disease.
<snip>
The combination of the availability heuristic and the media's focus on the unusual gives us a perverse effect: When a bad thing becomes more rare and therefore less of a problem, the media gives it more publicity and causes people to see it as *more* of a problem. Think of it this way -- if thousands of people were being shot and killed every day, ...no single killing could possibly receive as much news coverage.... The media simply would not have the resources to cover individual killings if they were commonplace.[/quote]
Likewise, we hear of instances of "our overly litigious society" everyday. This doesn’t mean that’s how it really is, though. Most of us have heard of a frivolous lawsuit of some kind, but I would bet that very few of us have actually participated in one.
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RKBA!
"The people have the right to bear arms for their defense and security"
Ohio Constitution, Article I, Section 4 Concealed Carry is illegal in Ohio.
Ohioans for Concealed Carry Website
by Stuart Buck,
from Intellectual Capital, http://www.intellectualcapital.com
"We all suffer from a cognitive bias known as the availability heuristic. The availability heuristic (identified by psychologists Kahneman and Tversky in a famous 1973 article) causes us to overestimate the probability of an event if an example comes readily to mind.
Thus, when people are asked whether more words begin with "r" or have "r" as the third letter, people wrongly say that more words begin with "r" -- because it is easier to think of such examples. People overestimate the likelihood of plane crashes versus auto crashes, because of the coverage given airline crashes. Many women overestimate their risk of dying of breast cancer -- which gets lots of publicity -- even though they face a far higher risk of dying from heart disease.
<snip>
The combination of the availability heuristic and the media's focus on the unusual gives us a perverse effect: When a bad thing becomes more rare and therefore less of a problem, the media gives it more publicity and causes people to see it as *more* of a problem. Think of it this way -- if thousands of people were being shot and killed every day, ...no single killing could possibly receive as much news coverage.... The media simply would not have the resources to cover individual killings if they were commonplace.[/quote]
Likewise, we hear of instances of "our overly litigious society" everyday. This doesn’t mean that’s how it really is, though. Most of us have heard of a frivolous lawsuit of some kind, but I would bet that very few of us have actually participated in one.
------------------
RKBA!
"The people have the right to bear arms for their defense and security"
Ohio Constitution, Article I, Section 4 Concealed Carry is illegal in Ohio.
Ohioans for Concealed Carry Website