Zogby--Gore bounces back

BAB

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Just when I was starting to get optimistic.

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=251

Released: August 14, 2000

Gore Bounces Back; Trails Bush by Only 3.1%; Lieberman choice overwhelmingly supported

Reuters/Zogby survey reveals

August 14, 2000


Reuters/Zogby National Poll: Gore Bounces Back; Trails Bush by Only 3.1%; Lieberman choice overwhelmingly supported, new Reuters/Zogby survey reveals


Democratic Presidential nominee Al Gore has dramatically closed the gap in the race for president and now trails Republican Presidential nominee George W. Bush by only 3.1%, according to a new Reuters/Zogby poll conducted Friday through Sunday.


The poll of 1,005 likely voters nationwide has Bush leading Gore 43.2% to 40.1% with 7% for Green Party candidate Ralph Nader, 1.5% for Reform Party’s Pat Buchanan, .6% for Libertarian Harry Browne and .2% for Natural Law’s John Hagelin. Another 7.3% were Undecided. The poll has a margin of sampling error of +/- 3.2%.


In the two-way race, Bush leads Gore 46.1% to 42.7%.


One week ago, in a Reuters/Zogby survey taken immediately after the conclusion of the Republican National Convention, Bush held a 17.3% lead over Gore 49.2% to 31.9%.


Last week Bush also led Gore among several categories including all age groups, both men and women, suburbanites and rural voters. Now the vice president is showing new strength as he virtually has tied with Bush among Independents (34.4% Gore, 36.2% Bush), among women (41.7% Gore, 41.8% Bush) and among 55-69 year-olds (42.8% Gore, 42.5% Bush).


Gore also leads now among large city respondents (46.6% Gore, 37.7% Bush), small city respondents (44.8% Gore, 40.3% Bush), as well as Catholics (41.9% Gore, 36.9% Bush).


Gore is reaffirming strength among traditional Democratic strongholds such as union households (51.1% Gore, 34.2% Bush), African Americans (79.9% Gore, 7.2% Bush) and Hispanics (67% Gore, 19.8% Bush).


By a margin of 66.9% to 22.2%, likely voters approve of Gore’s selection of Joseph Lieberman as his vice presidential running mate. By 15.5% to 3.4% likely voters are more likely to support Gore because of his choice of Lieberman.


By a margin of 48.8% to 36.1% likely voters agree with the statement that "Al Gore deserves to be elected because the Clinton/Gore administration has presided over unprecedented economic prosperity," as opposed to the statement "Al Gore deserves to be defeated because the Clinton/Gore administration has lowered the nation’s morals with a series of scandals."


Nearly two in three voters likely voters (62.5%) believe the nation is headed in the right direction, while 28.8% believe things are on the wrong track. Gore leads 54.5% to 30% among "right direction" voters, Bush leads 68.5% to 11.8% among "wrong track" voters.


Pollster John Zogby: "Gore has consolidated key Democratic groups such as labor and minorities, the same groups Bush earlier had been threatening. Gore is now polling as a successful Democrat should poll among Independents, suburbanites and women."

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Gore will get another bounce in the polls from the convention. It's surprising that Lieberman gave him that much of a bounce.

Gore's convention speech is going to be heavily weighted toward policy specifics, according to an AP story. I hope so. When he goes into his "policy wonk" mode, everyone falls asleep.

This race is going to be so close it's frightening.

President Al Gore. Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton. Supreme Court Justice Charles Schumer.

God help us.

Dick
Want to send a message to Bush? Sign the petition at http://www.petitiononline.com/monk/petition.html and forward the link to every gun owner you know.
 
Zogby is one of the reliable polls. These early polls are all over the place, but in the last presidential election Zogby got it right.

People have no center and look to the last sound bite. They get the government that they deserve. I wonder if this shift was a product of J.L.'s many prayers? Maybe God is a Democrat. Nah, probably Libertarian.
 
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