Thirty or so years ago I remember it was political suicide in Pennsylvania to get on the wrong side of the hunters and sportsmen. I'm afraid that has changed, but perhaps the hunters & shooters can be brought back around since fate is knocking at their door.
Your concern that PA could go Gore and thus even you, as a Libertarian Congressional candidate, possibly voting for Bush tells a profound reality. We can't afford risking Gore.
But in those states where it may be a sure bet one way or another, voting for Browne would help the party that would help us shooters the most.
In a brief review of the last three Presidential election numbers,
1988 had 91 million voters (41.8 Dem, 48.9 Rep.) - (90.7 total)
1992 had 104 million voters (43.7 Dem, 38.1 Rep, 19.2 Ind) - (101 total)
1996 had 95 million voters (47.4 Dem, 39.2 Rep, 8.1 Ind) - (94.7 total)
Note:
1) The Dem totals likely reflect population increase and immigrant voters though in 1996 they may also have picked up two million ex-independents.
2) 1992's hope for a viable 3rd party brought out 10 million new voters. BUT in 1996 their disillusionment turned them back into non-voters.
I'll grant that in 1992 Perot threw the election to Clinton.
But in 1996, Clinton likely would have won without Perot's help which was a sorry state of affairs given what we knew of him by then.
(a state by state figuring of electoral votes would be more accurate but for now I'm using the national totals)
MY POINT IN THIS...
Libertarian candidates CAN tap a large pool of non-voters without throwing the election to the Democrats. There are about 10 million 1992 voters who dropped out in 1996. If Libertarians could reach half of them, that would be our 5% threshold. If Libertarians could tap half of the non-voters, they'd win the Presidency. There are about 200 million potential voters, half of which are not voting.
http://www.census.gov/population/estimates/nation/intfile2-1.txt
Okay, so I'm being idealistic in my dreams.
P.S.
We know of many gunowners who are planning to vote for Gore - the idiots!
Half of the reputed 80 million gunowners would take the Presidency from the Demopublicans, especially since many would be converts from Democrat and Republican.
[This message has been edited by Solitar (edited October 29, 2000).]