Predictions For 2001: Federal Gun Law

G

Gary H

New member
I was going to ask for your predictions regarding gun legislation, but that would have ignored executive orders. I was going to include state law, but I live in California and don't want to be depressed for the New Year.

I don't know what will transpire, but I predict fewer military style operations against private citizens. Waco, Elian and so forth will be resolved in different ways. The military will be used for military purpose overseas and used with great reserve where "peace keeping" is involved. I don't really know enough about federal gun legislation to answer the real question below:

For those more in the know: What legislative, or executive orders might be in our firearms future (2001-2002)? Where will NRA and sister organization find federal solace in the next couple of years?

Have a Great New Year TFL

[Edited by Gary H on 12-31-2000 at 12:09 PM]
 
One thing I do expect...Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX) has a bill (HR-407) for CCW reciprocity that has been languishing for about a year now. I do expect movement on this bill.
Basically, it would require states to recognize other states' CCW permits (as they do with driver's licenses).
If we can get it through to GW, he'll sign it.
One problem is Dennis Hastert, the Speaker of the House. He's not a rabid anti-rights type, but he's not our friend either. However, as Speaker...his office must respond to phone calls from non-constituents (if they give you any grief...explain to them that as Speaker, he listens to all or he can resign as Speaker.

I do think the Feds will be more proactive on the drug war, although as an ex-cocaine user, that could give GW some problems (I'm libertarian...Drug War is an abomination).

I do not see any "Waco" style incidents in the coming years, however.
 
I agree that the national reciprocity bill HR 407 might find some legs this session. I don't have any real fears that more bans will come, and I'm optimistic about 2004 sunset and screw the congress anyway. Emerson just might topple the entire house of cards. But that's at least 1-2 years out.

Regards,
MP
 
MP:

One to two years out is what we are talking about!

I live in California. Maybe there is hope. I could setup a second home in Nevada and get my carry in California. Wow, that would be great...very expensive, but great!

Any chance of one national CCW license? This is one area where the constitution is explicit..in my view..so we should not be worried about states rights.
 
I expect to see some low-keyed look-sees at provisions of law that are clearly distorted.

I think the instant check system is of sufficient irritation that it will be examined.

I sincerely hope there will be a wide ranging review of databases being put together by FBI and batf on gun owner and purchasers. Particularly where those databases are not sanctioned by law.

I hope congress takes a look at rules that prohibit veterans who have psychological help from owning firearms. Maybe they can look at that at the same time they look at why the services had such a hard time voting in the last election. I would also like to have congress look at the rules which disenfranchise LEO's which have a history of marital problems.

The judicial system has been so distorted by the last 8 long, long, long years that it will take a while just to identify where the problems are.
 
Any chance of one national CCW license? This is one area where the constitution is explicit..in my view..so we should not be worried about states rights.

GW has already stated that he prefer this be left to the states. I concur with him on this matter.
The good point is that I expect a few more states to become "shall issue" (Ohio, for one) and maybe some lawsuits in states such NY will force the issue since current permits are granted as political favors. I live in PA (which is "shall issue"). I would love the land of Hillary and Chuck to become "shall issue".
Maryland's "fingerprinting" of handguns (requiring a spent shell casing be provided to the state cops) is interfering with handgun sales in that state. This one is causing Glendening and Curran (Governor and State's Attorney, respectively) some grief. Now, we must keep up the pressure.
In PA, we must watch the next Gubernatorial race: Ed Rendell, the DNC Chairman, former Mayor of Philly and mastermind of the gun manufacturer lawsuits will be running. He is a seriously deseased scumbag.
 
The best case is that Bush stops the Federal participation in antigun law suits. He does not have the support in the Congress to be proactive.

The bans will be renewed in 2004 unless there is a dramatic increase in GOP members of the Congress in 2002.

No overturn of executive orders.

If some true tragedy happens beyond the unfortunate normal
workplace/school shooting expect some more laws like mandatory NICS on private sales.

On the state level, push for shall issue laws so that antigun states become just the major Democratic strongholds.

Expect states like MA, CA, NY, MD (maybe) to eventually ban all guns except for over/under shotguns for ducky shooters.
 
I don't see the mandatory NICS on private sales flying. Particularly with the current SCOTUS. I can't imagine any way that the Federal government could justify any attempt to apply federal restrictions in intra-state sales of legally owned personal property (interstate sales between private parties are already illegal). Congress might pass it, but I don't see it standing up in court.
 
Ezeckial wrote:
"One problem is Dennis Hastert, the Speaker of the House. He's not a rabid anti-rights type, but he's not our friend either. However, as Speaker...his
office must respond to phone calls from non-constituents (if they give you any grief...explain to them that as Speaker, he listens to all or he can
resign as Speaker."

I live in Denny Hastert's district. His office is about
2 miles from my house. I'll write to him about this. I
have written to him on many issues in the past. What are
some of the things you'd like addressed? A point by point
list would be good. He does listen to me because he sends
back personal replies to my questions. If I get an answer
from him I'll post it here.
 
I live in Denny Hastert's district. His office is about
2 miles from my house. I'll write to him about this. I
have written to him on many issues in the past. What are
some of the things you'd like addressed? A point by point
list would be good. He does listen to me because he sends
back personal replies to my questions. If I get an answer
from him I'll post it here.

After the Columbine massacre, the "Crime Bill" with several anti-rights/anti-gun provisions was introduced. Hastert did his best to get these through (failed, fortunately).
Probably the best thing you can push for is the movement on Ron Paul's HR-407 (mentioned in an earlier post).
 
We need some ROCK SOILD pro-gun High Court Rulings!!!! Then things will change quickly our way! There have been a few, just need to get the ball rolling now!
 
I can certainly tell you what is going to happen in Massachusetts...

Gun Control we'll see in the next 1-2 years???

1) Ban on all semi-automatic rifles.

2) CCW permits will no longer be issued by Police Chiefs (it will become more like RI, with no future permits.)


Thanks Mucko :(
 
EnochGale: He doesn't need support in Congress to be proactive on a number of fronts:

1. Having the Justice Department switch sides in 2nd amendment cases to the pro-gun side, as in the Emerson case. There's a fairly standard technique for the executive branch to get laws it doesn't like struck down by having a private citizen challenge them, NOMINALLY defend the law, but make a point of taking a dive in the process. No help from Congress needed in this.

2. Cease anti-gun statutory violations such as illegal gun registration, and destroy the lists already accumulated. No help from Congress needed for this.

3. Call off the BATF in it's attack on gun ownership. Ditto on no help from Congress being needed.

4. The President has an independent obligation to uphold the Constitution, and this can include refusing to enforce laws which are regarded as unconstitutional.

5. Finally, there are more than enough pro-gunners in Congress to uphold Presidential vetos, IF Bush is willing to veto gun control laws.

Oh, he's got the power to help us, alright, just as certainly as Clinton had the power to hurt us. The question is, will he USE it? After all, he didn't exactly run as a pro-gunner, did he? On the contrary, he ran promising to maintain the "assault weapon" ban, raise the age for gun ownership, et cettera. Sure, he had a pro-gun record in Texas, but that was a matter of political necessity; Will he go to the mat for us NOW? Only time will tell, but I'm not terribly optimistic; He wouldn't associate himself with us when he was running, why now?

[Edited by Brett Bellmore on 01-04-2001 at 10:54 AM]
 
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