Double Naught Spy
New member
https://youtu.be/x5Py9WvNAho
This is a hunt from last evening and I had some fun with the concept of "patterning." I have some friends who like to say that they have a hog patterned, but quite often when they go after the patterned hog, the pattern is broken and they come home empty-handed. So I patterned the hog with the first time it showed up and then verified the pattern by taking the hog on the following night.
Of course, statistically, this is not a valid concept, but given the numbers of influences on a hog's daily activity and the fact that they don't have reason to keep a set schedule, their patterns are apt to change without notice. That is for an individual hog. Based on experience, I have come to find that if a boar shows up for the first time, there is a good chance it will be back the next night (maybe about 30%) and a very good chance it will be back within the next 3 nights (>70%), not necessarily at any given time, mind you, but just come back. This isn't really "patterning a hog," but playing the odds of what often happens at my place.
Beyond the first visits, I have had poor luck with trying to pattern hunt individual hogs. Too many things seem to change their pattern enough to keep me from being successful beyond random chance. The hog I shot before this one had been coming several nights a week, usually after 1:00 am. I showed up at sundown to wait for him and he was already under the feeder at 9:00 pm. Had I shown up according to the pattern, he would have been long gone, LOL.
So do you pattern hogs and if so, what sort of criteria do you use for determining what constitutes a pattern? How well does patterning a given hog or sounder work for you?
This is a hunt from last evening and I had some fun with the concept of "patterning." I have some friends who like to say that they have a hog patterned, but quite often when they go after the patterned hog, the pattern is broken and they come home empty-handed. So I patterned the hog with the first time it showed up and then verified the pattern by taking the hog on the following night.
Of course, statistically, this is not a valid concept, but given the numbers of influences on a hog's daily activity and the fact that they don't have reason to keep a set schedule, their patterns are apt to change without notice. That is for an individual hog. Based on experience, I have come to find that if a boar shows up for the first time, there is a good chance it will be back the next night (maybe about 30%) and a very good chance it will be back within the next 3 nights (>70%), not necessarily at any given time, mind you, but just come back. This isn't really "patterning a hog," but playing the odds of what often happens at my place.
Beyond the first visits, I have had poor luck with trying to pattern hunt individual hogs. Too many things seem to change their pattern enough to keep me from being successful beyond random chance. The hog I shot before this one had been coming several nights a week, usually after 1:00 am. I showed up at sundown to wait for him and he was already under the feeder at 9:00 pm. Had I shown up according to the pattern, he would have been long gone, LOL.
So do you pattern hogs and if so, what sort of criteria do you use for determining what constitutes a pattern? How well does patterning a given hog or sounder work for you?