Machineguntony
New member
Lets have another debate. Liven up the NFA forum with some relevant topics.
Today's topic...
1. What would have to happen (politically, legislatively, judicially, or by executive decree) for the MG registry to reopen?
2. What are the odds it would happen?
I'll go first.
I would say that the registry would reopen if the next president elected was conservative, from a red Gun state, like Texas, and that president packed the court with conservative Supreme Court justices. The court is already relatively conservative, with Alito, Scalia, Thomas, and Roberts very likely to have a conservative interpretation of the second amendment.
Ginsberg is very likely the next to retire, and that would remove a liberal vote, if a conservative president took office.
The SC would then declare that the '86 act and the NFA were unconstitutional infringements.
Odds of this happening...less than 1%. First, a conservative president has to be elected. All signs point to Hillary, at about 25% to win. If Hillary doesn't take the office, then the odds are moderate or liberal will win due to the current political demographic.
Even if a conservative president is eventually elected (which will probably happen one day), it's highly unlikely the court would overturn the MG ban. The SC has already held that machine guns are dangerous weapons that can be regulated.
Congress would never, not in a million years, ever open the registry, and neither would the president. There would be too much political liability. Imagine if there was a mass shooting, involving a MG, after the registry reopened. That would be political suicide for the political person and party involved.
That's just my guess, pure guess. What are your thoughts?
Today's topic...
1. What would have to happen (politically, legislatively, judicially, or by executive decree) for the MG registry to reopen?
2. What are the odds it would happen?
I'll go first.
I would say that the registry would reopen if the next president elected was conservative, from a red Gun state, like Texas, and that president packed the court with conservative Supreme Court justices. The court is already relatively conservative, with Alito, Scalia, Thomas, and Roberts very likely to have a conservative interpretation of the second amendment.
Ginsberg is very likely the next to retire, and that would remove a liberal vote, if a conservative president took office.
The SC would then declare that the '86 act and the NFA were unconstitutional infringements.
Odds of this happening...less than 1%. First, a conservative president has to be elected. All signs point to Hillary, at about 25% to win. If Hillary doesn't take the office, then the odds are moderate or liberal will win due to the current political demographic.
Even if a conservative president is eventually elected (which will probably happen one day), it's highly unlikely the court would overturn the MG ban. The SC has already held that machine guns are dangerous weapons that can be regulated.
Congress would never, not in a million years, ever open the registry, and neither would the president. There would be too much political liability. Imagine if there was a mass shooting, involving a MG, after the registry reopened. That would be political suicide for the political person and party involved.
That's just my guess, pure guess. What are your thoughts?