GOA rates Moore as an "F", so maybe just a little extra push in your district might do him in.
Poll shows Kline, Moore deadlocked in race for U.S. House
By JIM SULLINGER - The Kansas City Star
Date: 10/18/00 23:00
With just weeks to go before the Nov. 7 general election, the race for the U.S. House in Kansas' 3rd District appears neck and neck.
In a Kansas City Star poll, 40 percent of those interviewed said they would vote for Democratic U.S. Rep. Dennis Moore, compared with 38 percent who favor Phill Kline, his Republican challenger. About 19 percent of the 602 people surveyed said they were undecided.
With the margin of error at plus or minus 4 percent, the race is a statistical dead heat. Chris Mina of Overland Park, the Libertarian Party candidate, received was supported by 2 percent.
"This race is within the margin of error, and that's got to be good news for Kline," said Burdett Loomis, a University of Kansas political science professor.
He said as a candidate trying to unseat an incumbent, Kline must be close at this point in the race to have any chance to win.
Kline said he was elated by the results.
"Being at 40 percent is a serious problem for this guy," Kline said of Moore. "That means 60 percent don't like what he's done or he'd have a majority by now. We're thrilled with this."
Kim Hall, Moore's campaign manager, said her camp has always considered the race close.
"But the fact that Congressman Moore is not only leading in this poll, but also winning 16 percent of Republicans and 15 (percentage points) more (among) independents than Phill Kline is a testament to his bipartisan appeal, and I imagine is not encouraging news to the Kline campaign at all," she said.
Moore captured 17 percent of the Republican vote two years ago, Hall said.
"Clearly, this means the split in the Republican Party is alive and well," she said.
The 3rd District race has been closely watched nationally as Republicans and Democrats wrestle for control of the U.S. House. Moore, a Democrat representing a traditionally Republican district, is a target of Republicans hoping to regain the seat.
John Kerr, Kline's campaign manager, compared the contest to a football game and said the heavily Republican makeup of the congressional district gives his candidate the home-field advantage going into the final quarter.
Loomis said, "One thing this will do is energize the Kline and Moore people. This will intensify that race, especially spending by the Republican and Democrat parties."
Johnson County accounted for 58 percent of those surveyed, with 25 percent coming from Wyandotte County, 13 percent from Douglas County and 4 percent from Miami County. It was conducted over six days beginning Oct. 11.
There were 292 men respondents compared with 310 women. In the sample, 87 percent said they had voted in the last presidential election.
The poll not only measured the two congressional candidates but also looked at how well the two major presidential candidates were faring with poll respondents. As expected in this heavily Republican district, Bush received 47 percent to Gore's 36 percent.
Kerr, Kline's campaign manager, said his polling has given Bush as much as a 15 percentage point lead over Gore in the district. That "Bush bounce" will aid Kline on Election Day, he said.
The poll found 19 percent of voters still undecided, well above the 12 percent of those surveyed who said they were undecided in the presidential race.
The poll shows Moore with a big lead among voters 55 and older, while Kline had a smaller advantage with younger voters.
Moore has always drawn strong support from independent voters, and The Star poll indicated that they still like him. He received the support of 41 percent of those surveyed who said they were neither Republicans nor Democrats. Among that group, Kline received 26.7 percent. Twenty-five percent in that category were undecided.
The poll also examined the difference between men and women respondents and found only a slight lead for Moore among women and a small lead for Kline among men. Loomis said the gender gap between Bush and Gore is much greater on the national stage.
Taxes and government spending were named the top issues in the race by 24 percent of those surveyed, with health care/medical insurance and education at 22 percent each.
In the poll, Kline, of Shawnee, led Moore, of Lenexa, by 8 percentage points in voter-rich Johnson County and 37 percentage points in Miami County. Moore led Kline by about 20 percentage points in Wyandotte and Douglas counties.
The Moore and Kline camps cautioned that polls do not predict the winner but provide a snapshot of what voters are thinking at the time the poll is taken. The poll was conducted by the Marketing Research Department of The Kansas City Star.
To reach Jim Sullinger, Johnson County political and government reporter, call (816) 234-7701 or send e-mail to jsullinger@kcstar.com
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"The night is nearly over; the day is almost here. So let us put aside
the deeds of darkness and put on the armor of light." (Romans 13:12)
Poll shows Kline, Moore deadlocked in race for U.S. House
By JIM SULLINGER - The Kansas City Star
Date: 10/18/00 23:00
With just weeks to go before the Nov. 7 general election, the race for the U.S. House in Kansas' 3rd District appears neck and neck.
In a Kansas City Star poll, 40 percent of those interviewed said they would vote for Democratic U.S. Rep. Dennis Moore, compared with 38 percent who favor Phill Kline, his Republican challenger. About 19 percent of the 602 people surveyed said they were undecided.
With the margin of error at plus or minus 4 percent, the race is a statistical dead heat. Chris Mina of Overland Park, the Libertarian Party candidate, received was supported by 2 percent.
"This race is within the margin of error, and that's got to be good news for Kline," said Burdett Loomis, a University of Kansas political science professor.
He said as a candidate trying to unseat an incumbent, Kline must be close at this point in the race to have any chance to win.
Kline said he was elated by the results.
"Being at 40 percent is a serious problem for this guy," Kline said of Moore. "That means 60 percent don't like what he's done or he'd have a majority by now. We're thrilled with this."
Kim Hall, Moore's campaign manager, said her camp has always considered the race close.
"But the fact that Congressman Moore is not only leading in this poll, but also winning 16 percent of Republicans and 15 (percentage points) more (among) independents than Phill Kline is a testament to his bipartisan appeal, and I imagine is not encouraging news to the Kline campaign at all," she said.
Moore captured 17 percent of the Republican vote two years ago, Hall said.
"Clearly, this means the split in the Republican Party is alive and well," she said.
The 3rd District race has been closely watched nationally as Republicans and Democrats wrestle for control of the U.S. House. Moore, a Democrat representing a traditionally Republican district, is a target of Republicans hoping to regain the seat.
John Kerr, Kline's campaign manager, compared the contest to a football game and said the heavily Republican makeup of the congressional district gives his candidate the home-field advantage going into the final quarter.
Loomis said, "One thing this will do is energize the Kline and Moore people. This will intensify that race, especially spending by the Republican and Democrat parties."
Johnson County accounted for 58 percent of those surveyed, with 25 percent coming from Wyandotte County, 13 percent from Douglas County and 4 percent from Miami County. It was conducted over six days beginning Oct. 11.
There were 292 men respondents compared with 310 women. In the sample, 87 percent said they had voted in the last presidential election.
The poll not only measured the two congressional candidates but also looked at how well the two major presidential candidates were faring with poll respondents. As expected in this heavily Republican district, Bush received 47 percent to Gore's 36 percent.
Kerr, Kline's campaign manager, said his polling has given Bush as much as a 15 percentage point lead over Gore in the district. That "Bush bounce" will aid Kline on Election Day, he said.
The poll found 19 percent of voters still undecided, well above the 12 percent of those surveyed who said they were undecided in the presidential race.
The poll shows Moore with a big lead among voters 55 and older, while Kline had a smaller advantage with younger voters.
Moore has always drawn strong support from independent voters, and The Star poll indicated that they still like him. He received the support of 41 percent of those surveyed who said they were neither Republicans nor Democrats. Among that group, Kline received 26.7 percent. Twenty-five percent in that category were undecided.
The poll also examined the difference between men and women respondents and found only a slight lead for Moore among women and a small lead for Kline among men. Loomis said the gender gap between Bush and Gore is much greater on the national stage.
Taxes and government spending were named the top issues in the race by 24 percent of those surveyed, with health care/medical insurance and education at 22 percent each.
In the poll, Kline, of Shawnee, led Moore, of Lenexa, by 8 percentage points in voter-rich Johnson County and 37 percentage points in Miami County. Moore led Kline by about 20 percentage points in Wyandotte and Douglas counties.
The Moore and Kline camps cautioned that polls do not predict the winner but provide a snapshot of what voters are thinking at the time the poll is taken. The poll was conducted by the Marketing Research Department of The Kansas City Star.
To reach Jim Sullinger, Johnson County political and government reporter, call (816) 234-7701 or send e-mail to jsullinger@kcstar.com
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"The night is nearly over; the day is almost here. So let us put aside
the deeds of darkness and put on the armor of light." (Romans 13:12)