Here I go - commitment:
My analysis of electoral votes shows that the Bush/Cheney ticket wins.
Now the hedge clauses:
Based on Virginian Pilot Nov 6, 1000 Front Page "Down To The Wire" story showing the "Battleground States." Numbers may differ during Monday and Tuesday. Notice California is missing.
* = No recent poll results available (at print time).
I have culled the numbers and put my best SWAG to them and, IMHO, these are minimum numbers. I do believe that it is possible the whole thing will be a blow-out for
Bush/Cheney.
Rush reported today that "Don't listen to the media - watch their actions."; following this with info indicating that there are no hotel rooms available in Austin, and many available in Nashville. Also plane tickets between Washington and Austin have cost some folks $1000.
.............................................
State Bush/% Gore/% Nader/%
ARKANSAS........6*
DELAWARE..................3*
FLORIDA........25/45......./44....../3
IOWA............7/44......./42....../3
MICHIGAN........./44.....18/46....../3
MINNESOTA......../42.....10/44....../5
MISSOURI.......11/49......./44....../4
N.HAMPSHIRE...............4*
NEW MEXICO......5/47......./44....../3
OREGON....................7*
PENNSYLVANIA...../46.....23/47....../0
TENNESSEE......11/48......./44....../1
WASHINGTON......./45.....11/46....../5
WISCONSIN......11/47......./44....../4
____________________________________________
My.Pickup:.....76........76........0
VP.Leading:...218.......168........0
____________________________________________
My.Total:.....294.......244........0
Anyone else?
------------------
The Handgun: In a real pinch, the Great Equalizer.
[This message has been edited by Ironbarr (edited November 06, 2000).]
My analysis of electoral votes shows that the Bush/Cheney ticket wins.
Now the hedge clauses:
Based on Virginian Pilot Nov 6, 1000 Front Page "Down To The Wire" story showing the "Battleground States." Numbers may differ during Monday and Tuesday. Notice California is missing.
* = No recent poll results available (at print time).
I have culled the numbers and put my best SWAG to them and, IMHO, these are minimum numbers. I do believe that it is possible the whole thing will be a blow-out for
Bush/Cheney.
Rush reported today that "Don't listen to the media - watch their actions."; following this with info indicating that there are no hotel rooms available in Austin, and many available in Nashville. Also plane tickets between Washington and Austin have cost some folks $1000.
.............................................
State Bush/% Gore/% Nader/%
ARKANSAS........6*
DELAWARE..................3*
FLORIDA........25/45......./44....../3
IOWA............7/44......./42....../3
MICHIGAN........./44.....18/46....../3
MINNESOTA......../42.....10/44....../5
MISSOURI.......11/49......./44....../4
N.HAMPSHIRE...............4*
NEW MEXICO......5/47......./44....../3
OREGON....................7*
PENNSYLVANIA...../46.....23/47....../0
TENNESSEE......11/48......./44....../1
WASHINGTON......./45.....11/46....../5
WISCONSIN......11/47......./44....../4
____________________________________________
My.Pickup:.....76........76........0
VP.Leading:...218.......168........0
____________________________________________
My.Total:.....294.......244........0
Anyone else?
------------------
The Handgun: In a real pinch, the Great Equalizer.
[This message has been edited by Ironbarr (edited November 06, 2000).]