Interesting 5-24-00 article in The Atlantic tracks wide divergence in support for gun control based on gender:
TEXT FOLLOWSolitical Pulse:
Ho Hum, the Shootings Go On
So far, a tidal wave of public support for gun control has not swept over American politics
by William Schneider
May 24, 2000
The big surprise with the gun issue is what has not happened. The Columbine school shootings and other gun tragedies have not had the effect a lot of people predicted. A tidal wave of public support for gun control has not swept over American politics. Instead, a polarization over guns has arisen -- not between Democrats and Republicans, but between men and women.
President Clinton challenged Congress to pass a new gun control bill by April 20, the anniversary of the Columbine tragedy. When that didn't happen, Clinton went to Annapolis, Md., to attend the signing of that state's tough, new gun law. Maryland Democratic Gov. Parris N. Glendening said: "I predict that this will happen in statehouses across the country."
It doesn't look that way. Maryland is one of only eight states that have toughened their gun laws since April 1999. California, Connecticut, Illinois, Massachusetts, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island are the other states. New gun law measures have failed in 10 states, including New York, Texas, and, notably, Colorado, where the Columbine killings occurred.
Why so little progress? That's what Clinton wants to know. "There are more than enough people in Congress who represent districts that would support this kind of action by more than 2-to-1 to pass this legislation in a landslide," the President said in Annapolis.
Clinton is right. Across the country, Americans favor stricter gun laws by nearly 2-to-1. But if you look at the polls over the past 10 years, the story changes.
In 1990, 80 percent of Americans favored stricter gun laws, according to a Gallup Poll. That number dropped to 70 percent in 1993, and 62 percent in 1995. There was a small uptick in 1999 to 66 percent, right after the events in Columbine. But last month's Gallup Poll shows the percentage back down to 61. Although 61 percent is a substantial majority, support for stricter gun laws has dropped nearly 20 points in 10 years. Polling by the Pew Research Center for The People and The Press has found the same trend developing just in the past few months. In March, 66 percent of Americans said gun control was more important than protecting the rights of gun owners. This month, the number who felt that way dropped to 57 percent. Still a majority, but a smaller one.
Why is this happening? In part, because the National Rifle Association has been making an argument many Americans find reasonable: The country doesn't need new gun laws. It needs to do a better job enforcing the laws that are already on the books. By 51 percent to 44 percent in the Gallup Poll, the public says we should enforce existing gun laws, which happens to be George W. Bush's position, rather than pass new ones.
Gun control activists argue that the choice between enforcing existing laws and passing new ones is a false one, because people want to do both. How else do you explain the huge majorities who favor a five-day waiting period for handgun purchases and trigger locks on all new handguns? Or the three-quarters of Americans who favor the registration of all handguns? Or the two-thirds who want to license gun owners? Or the nearly 60 percent who want to limit the number of handguns an individual can purchase to one per month?
Those are precisely the measures Al Gore is calling for. Yet Gallup asked people twice this year which candidate would do a better job handling "the gun issue," and the answer was Bush, both times, by a small margin.
It appears that the aggressive tactics of gun control advocates -- including President Clinton, Vice President Gore, and the "million moms" -- has created a backlash. People who oppose new gun laws feel threatened, and they're being energized. According to The Washington Post, the NRA has gained 700,000 new members in the past 15 months, and may have a record 4 million members by November.
What kind of people feel threatened? Principally, men and gun owners. Among men who own guns, only 37 percent favor stricter gun laws. Among women who do not have a gun in the household, the number jumps to 81 percent.
Gender has an impact independent of gun ownership. Among female gun owners, 51 percent favor stricter gun laws -- 14 points higher than for male gun owners. Among men who do not own a gun, 64 percent support stricter gun laws -- 17 points lower than the figure for women without a gun.
According to the Pew Center, the gender gap on the gun issue has been growing. And it's having a powerful impact on this year's presidential vote. People who say we should enforce existing gun laws rather than pass new ones favor Bush over Gore by more than 3-to-1. Those who want to pass new gun laws favor Gore by about the same margin. That largely explains the gender gap in the presidential vote: men hugely for Bush, women narrowly for Gore.
What we're seeing looks like a repeat of 1994, when "angry white men" rose up against the Democratic Congress that passed the Brady bill and the assault weapons ban. Nothing makes them quite as angry as gun control, or the threat of gun control, which is giving men a strong reason to vote against Gore. As of yet, Gore has not given women a strong reason to vote for him.
TEXT FOLLOWSolitical Pulse:
Ho Hum, the Shootings Go On
So far, a tidal wave of public support for gun control has not swept over American politics
by William Schneider
May 24, 2000
The big surprise with the gun issue is what has not happened. The Columbine school shootings and other gun tragedies have not had the effect a lot of people predicted. A tidal wave of public support for gun control has not swept over American politics. Instead, a polarization over guns has arisen -- not between Democrats and Republicans, but between men and women.
President Clinton challenged Congress to pass a new gun control bill by April 20, the anniversary of the Columbine tragedy. When that didn't happen, Clinton went to Annapolis, Md., to attend the signing of that state's tough, new gun law. Maryland Democratic Gov. Parris N. Glendening said: "I predict that this will happen in statehouses across the country."
It doesn't look that way. Maryland is one of only eight states that have toughened their gun laws since April 1999. California, Connecticut, Illinois, Massachusetts, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island are the other states. New gun law measures have failed in 10 states, including New York, Texas, and, notably, Colorado, where the Columbine killings occurred.
Why so little progress? That's what Clinton wants to know. "There are more than enough people in Congress who represent districts that would support this kind of action by more than 2-to-1 to pass this legislation in a landslide," the President said in Annapolis.
Clinton is right. Across the country, Americans favor stricter gun laws by nearly 2-to-1. But if you look at the polls over the past 10 years, the story changes.
In 1990, 80 percent of Americans favored stricter gun laws, according to a Gallup Poll. That number dropped to 70 percent in 1993, and 62 percent in 1995. There was a small uptick in 1999 to 66 percent, right after the events in Columbine. But last month's Gallup Poll shows the percentage back down to 61. Although 61 percent is a substantial majority, support for stricter gun laws has dropped nearly 20 points in 10 years. Polling by the Pew Research Center for The People and The Press has found the same trend developing just in the past few months. In March, 66 percent of Americans said gun control was more important than protecting the rights of gun owners. This month, the number who felt that way dropped to 57 percent. Still a majority, but a smaller one.
Why is this happening? In part, because the National Rifle Association has been making an argument many Americans find reasonable: The country doesn't need new gun laws. It needs to do a better job enforcing the laws that are already on the books. By 51 percent to 44 percent in the Gallup Poll, the public says we should enforce existing gun laws, which happens to be George W. Bush's position, rather than pass new ones.
Gun control activists argue that the choice between enforcing existing laws and passing new ones is a false one, because people want to do both. How else do you explain the huge majorities who favor a five-day waiting period for handgun purchases and trigger locks on all new handguns? Or the three-quarters of Americans who favor the registration of all handguns? Or the two-thirds who want to license gun owners? Or the nearly 60 percent who want to limit the number of handguns an individual can purchase to one per month?
Those are precisely the measures Al Gore is calling for. Yet Gallup asked people twice this year which candidate would do a better job handling "the gun issue," and the answer was Bush, both times, by a small margin.
It appears that the aggressive tactics of gun control advocates -- including President Clinton, Vice President Gore, and the "million moms" -- has created a backlash. People who oppose new gun laws feel threatened, and they're being energized. According to The Washington Post, the NRA has gained 700,000 new members in the past 15 months, and may have a record 4 million members by November.
What kind of people feel threatened? Principally, men and gun owners. Among men who own guns, only 37 percent favor stricter gun laws. Among women who do not have a gun in the household, the number jumps to 81 percent.
Gender has an impact independent of gun ownership. Among female gun owners, 51 percent favor stricter gun laws -- 14 points higher than for male gun owners. Among men who do not own a gun, 64 percent support stricter gun laws -- 17 points lower than the figure for women without a gun.
According to the Pew Center, the gender gap on the gun issue has been growing. And it's having a powerful impact on this year's presidential vote. People who say we should enforce existing gun laws rather than pass new ones favor Bush over Gore by more than 3-to-1. Those who want to pass new gun laws favor Gore by about the same margin. That largely explains the gender gap in the presidential vote: men hugely for Bush, women narrowly for Gore.
What we're seeing looks like a repeat of 1994, when "angry white men" rose up against the Democratic Congress that passed the Brady bill and the assault weapons ban. Nothing makes them quite as angry as gun control, or the threat of gun control, which is giving men a strong reason to vote against Gore. As of yet, Gore has not given women a strong reason to vote for him.