gburner
The need for hundreds of millions of dollars to finance the ratification push from front to back and the willingness to take the financial loss when it comes up short. As stated previously, there is no overwhelming moral or social issue being addressed here, just an ego driven, naked power grab by some fat cats and their muscle bound monkey boy. Americans will see thru it.
The money is there - and it is being spent
right now. And you have not read the impetus correctly or at least insufficiently; the issue is being addressed as a small shortcoming in the "melting pot". That is "
Anyone can succeed and reach their highest goals in America! ... wait, there is this little meaningless
restriction on who can become President of the United States. We need to do something about that ... ".
"Americans" - enough of them - will not "see thru it" unless they see through Arnold and the people that are fronting him.
The willingness for Ahnuld to wait around, cooling his heels, while the country works through the ratification process. He's already in his late '50's; his financiers are 15 - 20 years his elder. What will he do after the governor gig, which won't last more than one term. The ratification process would last a minimum of 5 years with no max on the time limit. He could be a very old man by the time a Constitutional convention is held, then, depending on the timing, have to wait another 4 - 8 years for the current president to leave office.
Ronald Reagan was alot older than Arnold. And Arnold will likely see another term as governor in the meantime. Outside of that coolling his heels he is going to be a rolling showcase for change, and there is no shortage of money behind him.
The belief that Joe and Jane voter would see Ahnuld as a viable national candidate and the belief among his backers that they could reproduce his California victory on a national level. Ahnuld won out of a pack of about a dozen serious candidates, mostly on name recognition.
I do not see any widespread "conservative" critism of how Arnold is doing in California - despite the fact that he is blatantly well to the "left". I predict that Arnold will be given an overall high approval rating for his "job" in CA - the major media ticker tapes will throw in a few spots just to be "balanced"; but overall you are going to see enough people shown as supporting him. You couldn't get much worse than some of the blunders (if you can call them blunders that is) of George Bush in the last several years - or much further to the "left" without calling yourself a "democrat". Yet there seems to be enough people that say; "Well, he's not perfect you know, but ...... and I think he's doing better than Kerry would".
The media factor...how many skeletons are in Ahnuld's closet. He was muddied up some in his Cali race; it would be more intense nationally. Ahnuld also has heart problems and a history of marijuana and steroid use, all of which will be scrutinized as will his family's alleged WW 2 ties to the Nazi party in Austria. Sexcapades on Hollywood sets, beefcake photos and films, allegations of sexual abuse and harrassment either founded or unfounded and god knows what else.
Yep, all out in the open. But you haven't seen any "republicans" or "democrats" leaders with any following making a meal out of any of it. It didn't stop him becoming Gov of CA, or being invited to play a starring role at the RNC.
I assume that he would attempt to run as a Republican.
The current incarnation of the Rupublican party would not have him. He is pro-choice and anti rights re. firearms, two hot button issues that preclude him from ever being a nationally viable Republican candidate.
He is attempting to follow the Reagan model without the Conservative philosophy. If he ran as an independent he would garner 10 - 15 % of the vote.
Again, the current incarnation of the "republican party" showcased him at the RNC. Arnold's speech was about
him, and a subtle primer for the precise topic of discussion.
Conservative philosophy? The current "republican party" is devoid of almost any conservative philosophy. This is clearly demonstarted in the currrent state of Congress which is "republican" dominated, and a "republican" in the WH. See any drastic changes in the traditional areas of contention? The U.N.? A "Department of Education"? "Healthcare"? "Welfare"? All the other forms of
socialist spending and empire? Rollbacks of unconstitutional gun legislation? And that's just a start; if the issues were not so serious it would be a big joke. As it is, it is an in-your-face game being played by two football teams owned by the same person. And not many people are "seeing thru it"; they're cheering for their team - and paying for it as well.
Arnold is simply pulling the ball much in the same way as George Bush has pulled things further left of center, only just alittle further. Bush hasn't been shrugged off as a "republican" figure, and the same people are going to be cheerleading Arnold when the time comes.
I wouldn't invest even a dime in anyone fronted for the "republican" party since Ronald Reagan. But then again, I am not Jacob and Warren & Co, and I don't have the connections to ensure anyone would actually accept my money even if I had enough.