Brownstone322
New member
The Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals has again upheld Maryland's ban on "assault weapons" and "high capacity" magazines, and I think this is actually good news.
The Fourth Circuit has stonewalled on this case for as long as it could (after the Supreme Court had vacated their previous ruling and remanded the case back to the circuit), and now it'll be appealed back to the high court, which is likely to grant cert. Then the high court will settle the issues of "assault weapons" and magazine capacity once and for all.
A Little History
Maryland passed a ban on "assault weapons" in 2013. The Fourth Circuit upheld the law in 2017 in Kolbe v. Hogan, then the Supreme Court declined to hear the subsequent appeal.
I immediately interpreted this as a strategic move among the high court's supporters of gun rights, as they probably didn't believe they'd have a majority on the issue, even post-Heller. The last thing they wanted was for the ban to be upheld, so they declined to hear the case at all. It's called playing the long game.
Then, in late-2020, a new plaintiff filed a new challenge to Maryland's ban (Bianchi v. Frosh), and I immediately recognized this as a do-over of Kolbe that was designed to reach the high court and its new makeup. The circuit court summarily dismissed Bianchi out of hand, simply referring back to Kolbe without further comment. The plaintiffs, of course, appealed.
A sea change occurred in 2022 when the Supreme Court vacated the circuit court's ruling and directed it to reassess the case in light of Bruen. Since then, the Fourth Circuit has stalled for more than two years — until now.
What's Next
The plaintiffs will appeal to the Supreme Court again, and I suspect that the high court, having seen no genuine reappraisal by the Fourth Circuit, will agree to hear the case. This will be the first time the high court will actually hear a case regarding "assault weapons" and "high capacity" magazines, which has been the plaintiffs' objective all along.
If my reading is correct, their strategy is working. Game on.
The Fourth Circuit has stonewalled on this case for as long as it could (after the Supreme Court had vacated their previous ruling and remanded the case back to the circuit), and now it'll be appealed back to the high court, which is likely to grant cert. Then the high court will settle the issues of "assault weapons" and magazine capacity once and for all.
A Little History
Maryland passed a ban on "assault weapons" in 2013. The Fourth Circuit upheld the law in 2017 in Kolbe v. Hogan, then the Supreme Court declined to hear the subsequent appeal.
I immediately interpreted this as a strategic move among the high court's supporters of gun rights, as they probably didn't believe they'd have a majority on the issue, even post-Heller. The last thing they wanted was for the ban to be upheld, so they declined to hear the case at all. It's called playing the long game.
Then, in late-2020, a new plaintiff filed a new challenge to Maryland's ban (Bianchi v. Frosh), and I immediately recognized this as a do-over of Kolbe that was designed to reach the high court and its new makeup. The circuit court summarily dismissed Bianchi out of hand, simply referring back to Kolbe without further comment. The plaintiffs, of course, appealed.
A sea change occurred in 2022 when the Supreme Court vacated the circuit court's ruling and directed it to reassess the case in light of Bruen. Since then, the Fourth Circuit has stalled for more than two years — until now.
What's Next
The plaintiffs will appeal to the Supreme Court again, and I suspect that the high court, having seen no genuine reappraisal by the Fourth Circuit, will agree to hear the case. This will be the first time the high court will actually hear a case regarding "assault weapons" and "high capacity" magazines, which has been the plaintiffs' objective all along.
If my reading is correct, their strategy is working. Game on.
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