It's often said here that we should unite behind the Republican presidential candidate (Bush) to avoid the disaster of a Gore victory. The argument, which has obvious merits, is that no other candidate can win, therefore "A vote for [a non-Bush candidate] is a vote for Gore" and a futile gesture.
But let's suppose it's October, and the polls show the following preferences amongst likely voters in your state (we can ignore the national polls due to the winner-take-all nature of the Electoral College):
Gore - 46%
Bush - 39%
Other (Reform, Libertarian, etc.) - 7%
Undecided - 8%
At this point, where Bush has to win over ALL the undecideds to pull ahead, doesn't he become, as a practical matter, just as "non-viable" as a third party candidate? And if he is headed for defeat, or at least appears that way, doesn't that kill the motivation of all the would-be Bush voters with a "victory or nothing" mindset?
I'm concerned that the "political realists" might be steering us towards another losing effort, as in 1992 and 1996, without at least the benefit of having sent some sort of message. It seems to me that the "good guys" are losing at least as many votes to despair, cynicism and apathy as they are to third parties.
I don't know what the solution is, but I do believe that getting out and casting a vote for SOMEONE on the pro-RKBA side is better than sitting at home because the poll numbers don't look good.
But let's suppose it's October, and the polls show the following preferences amongst likely voters in your state (we can ignore the national polls due to the winner-take-all nature of the Electoral College):
Gore - 46%
Bush - 39%
Other (Reform, Libertarian, etc.) - 7%
Undecided - 8%
At this point, where Bush has to win over ALL the undecideds to pull ahead, doesn't he become, as a practical matter, just as "non-viable" as a third party candidate? And if he is headed for defeat, or at least appears that way, doesn't that kill the motivation of all the would-be Bush voters with a "victory or nothing" mindset?
I'm concerned that the "political realists" might be steering us towards another losing effort, as in 1992 and 1996, without at least the benefit of having sent some sort of message. It seems to me that the "good guys" are losing at least as many votes to despair, cynicism and apathy as they are to third parties.
I don't know what the solution is, but I do believe that getting out and casting a vote for SOMEONE on the pro-RKBA side is better than sitting at home because the poll numbers don't look good.